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Technical Trend
Technicals- Summary

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Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish




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About the Section
- Welcome to Marketsmojo's technical analysis section. Do read the methodology and write to us. We would love to hear your feedback .
- The technical indicator tracks the momentum in the price movement of the stock
- We have tried to capture a longer term technical trend by generally looking at the indicators on a weekly and monthly basis
- We look at seven broad parameters of MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, KST, Dow Theory and On Balance Volume. All parameters (except) moving averages are tracked on a weekly and monthly basis
- The effect of all seven parameters is crystallised in the overall technical indicator
- Our analysis only tries to identify the current trend and in no-way provides any prediction regarding future price movements
Price Trend and Technical Grade
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Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
MACD (Weekly)





MACD
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) identifies the trend between two moving averages, the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages
- Exponential moving averages give higher weightage to recent price movement and are more sensitive to recent prices than simple moving averages
- To calculate MACD, two factors are used- MACD line and Signal line
- MACD line is the difference in the two moving averages and the Signal line is average of the difference over the past few periods
- When MACD line moves above the Signal line it is a bullish indicator and when MACD line goes below the Signal line it is a bearish indicator
MACD (Monthly)





Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI (Weekly)





RSI
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to identify whether due to recent movement in stock price has the stock moved into over-bought or over-sold territories
- The value of RSI ranges between 0 to 100
- In case the RSI reaches the upper band it indicates the stock is over-bought at these levels and may fall, and in case RSI reaches the lower band it indicates the stock is over-sold and may rise back up
- In between the two bands the RSI does not give any indication
RSI (Monthly)





Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands (Weekly)





Bollinger Bands
- Bollinger bands plot the range from mean basis the standard deviation of prices
- Since standard deviation measure volatility, the bands widen when volatility increase and become narrow when volatility falls
- When stock prices move out of the bands, it signals a potential ‘breakout’ from the current levels
- In times of very low volatility the bands ‘squeeze’ and become very close to the mean
Bollinger Bands (Monthly)





Moving Averages
Moving Averages (Daily)





Averages
- Moving averages is the only indicator that we track on a daily basis
- We use 50-day moving average (DMA) and 200 DMA for our calculation
- 50 DMA moving above the 200 DMA is a bullish indicator and vice versa
Know Sure Thing (KST)
KST (Weekly)





KST
- Know Sure Thing (KST) captures the momentum of the stock by combining the price return in different periods
- We give higher weightage to the more recent periods
- Like MACD, KST also uses the KST line and signal line which is moving average of KST line over recent periods
- When KST line moves above the Signal line it is a bullish indicator and when KST line goes below the Signal line it is a bearish indicator
KST (Monthly)





Dow Theory
Dow Theory (Weekly)





What is Dow Theory?
- Dow theory tracks the stock movement basis its previous movements and identifies the points where it beats the previous highs or falls below its previous lows
- It identifies the trends and key levels for the stock movement
- Dow theory is considered the base on which all modern technical analysis is based
Dow Theory (Monthly)





OBV
OBV (Weekly)





OBV
- On Balance Volume (OBV) measures the changes in volume with change in prices to identify where the smart money (institutional investors) is moving
- It tracks rise and fall in volumes before price catches up to identify whether institutional investors are building or reducing positions in the stock
OBV (Monthly)




