GEO Share Price | The GEO Group, Inc. Stock Analysis & Recommendation

Q: Is The GEO Group, Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

As of 26 September 2025, the valuation grade for The GEO Group, Inc. moved from expensive to fair. Based on the current metrics, the company appears to be fairly valued. Key ratios include a P/E ratio of 35, an EV to EBITDA of 9.25, and a Price to Book Value of 2.93. In comparison, peers such as Ladder Capital Corp. have a more attractive P/E of 17.19, while Uniti Group, Inc. is considered risky with a P/E of 50.89.The GEO Group's recent stock performance shows a 1-year return of 64.44%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's return of 15.64%, which reinforces the valuation perspective that the stock is fairly valued given its recent performance.

Q: Is The GEO Group, Inc. technically bullish or bearish?

As of 10 September 2025, the technical trend for The GEO Group, Inc. has changed from bearish to mildly bearish. The current stance is mildly bearish, driven by a bearish MACD on the weekly timeframe and a daily moving average also indicating bearishness. The Bollinger Bands show a bullish signal on the monthly timeframe, which contrasts with the overall bearish indicators. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date with a return of -21.44% compared to the S&P's 12.22%, but it has significantly outperformed over the past year with a return of 75.70% versus 17.14% for the S&P 500.

Q: How big is The GEO Group, Inc.?

Market Cap: As of Jun 18, The GEO Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of 3,518.91 million, categorizing it as a Micro Cap company.Recent Quarterly Performance: For the latest four quarters, The GEO Group, Inc. reported net sales of 2,422.67 million and a net profit of 28.01 million.Balance Sheet Snapshot: As of Dec 24, the company reported shareholder's funds of 1,334.94 million and total assets of 3,632.08 million.

Q: What does The GEO Group, Inc. do?

Overview: The GEO Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, leasing, and management of correctional, detention, and re-entry facilities, operating within the Miscellaneous industry and classified as a Micro Cap company.Financial Snapshot: Most recent Net Sales: 605 Million (Quarterly Results - Mar 2025) Most recent Net Profit: 20 Million (Quarterly Results - Mar 2025) Market cap: USD 3,518.91 Million (Micro Cap)Key Metrics: P/E: 35.00 Dividend Yield: 0.00% Debt Equity: -0.05 Return on Equity: 8.42% Price to Book: 2.62Contact Details: Address: 4955 Technology Way, BOCA RATON FL: 33431 Tel: 1 561 8930101 Website: https://www.geogroup.com/

Q: Who are in the management team of The GEO Group, Inc.?

As of March 2022, the management team of The GEO Group, Inc. includes the following individuals:- Dr. George Zoley: Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer, Founder- Mr. Richard Glanton: Lead Independent Director- Mr. Duane Helkowski: Director- Mr. Scott Kernan: Director- Mr. Norman Carlson: Director Emeritus- Ms. Anne Foreman: Independent DirectorThis team is responsible for overseeing the company's operations and strategic direction.

Price Point

High/Low

1Day

52 Week

Valuation

Technical

Day's Volume

CASH

471.83 k

Shareholding (Jun 2026)

FII

15.52%

Held by 103 FIIs

DII

84.28%

Held by 55 DIIs

Promoter

0.19%

Is The GEO Group, Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

30-Sep-2025

As of September 26, 2025, The GEO Group, Inc. is fairly valued with a P/E ratio of 35, an EV to EBITDA of 9.25, and a Price to Book Value of 2.93, outperforming the S&P 500 with a 1-year return of 64.44%.

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Is The GEO Group, Inc. technically bullish or bearish?

20-Sep-2025

As of September 10, 2025, The GEO Group, Inc. shows a mildly bearish trend with a bearish MACD and daily moving average, despite a bullish signal from Bollinger Bands on the monthly timeframe, and has underperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date while significantly outperforming it over the past year.

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How big is The GEO Group, Inc.?

22-Jun-2025

As of Jun 18, The GEO Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $3.52 billion, with net sales of $2.42 billion and a net profit of $28 million over the latest four quarters.

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What does The GEO Group, Inc. do?

22-Jun-2025

The GEO Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, leases, and manages correctional and detention facilities. As of March 2025, it reported net sales of $605 million and a market cap of approximately $3.52 billion.

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Who are in the management team of The GEO Group, Inc.?

22-Jun-2025

As of March 2022, The GEO Group, Inc.'s management team includes Dr. George Zoley (Chairman and CEO), Mr. Richard Glanton (Lead Independent Director), and several other directors, overseeing the company's operations and strategy.

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Compare The GEO Group, Inc. with Similar Stocks

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Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Dashboard

Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with an average Return on Equity (ROE) of 9.97%

With a growth in Net Profit of 48.83%, the company declared Very Positive results in Jun 25

With ROE of 8.42%, it has a very expensive valuation with a 2.93 Price to Book Value

Mojo Parameters

Stock DNA

Industry

Miscellaneous

Market cap

USD 2,326 Million (Small Cap)

P/E

8.00

Industry P/E

Dividend Yield

0.00%

Debt Equity

-0.05

Return on Equity

19.19%

Price to Book

1.54

Revenue and Profits:

Net Sales:

732 Million

(Quarterly Results - Jun 2026)

Net Profit:

47 Million

Total Returns

Total Returns (Price + Dividend)

TimePeriod

Price Return

Dividend Return

Total Return

3 Months

2.2%

6 Months

80.12%

1 Year

43.82%

2 Years

142.63%

3 Years

303.96%

4 Years

302.37%

5 Years

330.66%

The GEO Group, Inc. for the last several years.

Risk Adjusted Returns v/s

News & Corporate Actions

News

No Recent News for the Company

Announcements

No announcement available

Corporate Actions

No corporate action available

Key Factors

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

2.28%

EBIT Growth (5y)

15.23%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

2.10

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Negative Net Debt

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

1.82

Tax Ratio

11.10%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

100.00%

ROCE (avg)

44.37%

ROE (avg)

9.97%

Valuation key factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.54

EV to EBIT

7.50

EV to EBITDA

5.21

EV to Capital Employed

1.57

EV to Sales

0.86

PEG Ratio

0.05

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

20.97%

ROE (Latest)

19.19%

Technicals key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Mildly Bearish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bearish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Shareholding

Shareholding Snapshot : Jun 2026

Shareholding Compare (%holding)

Majority shareholders

Domestic Funds

Held in 66 Schemes (37.3%)

Foreign Institutions

Held by 103 Foreign Institutions (15.52%)

Strategic Entities with highest holding

Highest Public shareholder

Financial

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          "val1": "38.60",
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        "Dec'25",
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          "val1": "432.60",
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          "chgp": "-0.83%",
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          "field": "Interest",
          "val1": "160.50",
          "val2": "190.60",
          "chgp": "-15.79%",
          "chgp_class": "positive"
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          "val1": "-46.00",
          "val2": "-86.60",
          "chgp": "46.88%",
          "chgp_class": "positive"
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          "field": "Consolidate Net Profit",
          "val1": "254.30",
          "val2": "29.80",
          "chgp": "753.36%",
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Quarterly Results Snapshot (Consolidated) - Jun'26 - QoQ

Jun'26

Mar'26

Change(%)

Net Sales

732.10

705.20

3.81%

Operating Profit (PBDIT) excl Other Income

135.90

123.10

10.40%

Interest

38.60

38.30

0.78%

Exceptional Items

0.00

Consolidate Net Profit

47.50

38.30

24.02%

Operating Profit Margin (Excl OI)

138.90%

126.60%

1.23%

USD in Million.

Compare with Peers

Net Sales

QoQ Growth in quarter ended Jun 2026 is 3.81% vs -0.35% in Mar 2026

Consolidated Net Profit

QoQ Growth in quarter ended Jun 2026 is 24.02% vs 20.44% in Mar 2026

All Quarterly Results

Annual Results Snapshot (Consolidated) - Dec'25

Dec'25

Dec'24

Change(%)

Net Sales

2,631.50

2,423.70

8.57%

Operating Profit (PBDIT) excl Other Income

432.60

436.20

-0.83%

Interest

160.50

190.60

-15.79%

Exceptional Items

-46.00

-86.60

46.88%

Consolidate Net Profit

254.30

29.80

753.36%

Operating Profit Margin (Excl OI)

114.20%

127.90%

-1.37%

USD in Million.

Compare with Peers

Net Sales

YoY Growth in year ended Dec 2025 is 8.57% vs 0.44% in Dec 2024

Consolidated Net Profit

YoY Growth in year ended Dec 2025 is 753.36% vs -66.52% in Dec 2024

All Annual Results

Company CV

About The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group, Inc.

Miscellaneous

The GEO Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company specializes in the ownership, leasing and management of correctional, detention and re-entry facilities and the provision of community-based services and youth services in the United States, Australia, South Africa and the United Kingdom. The Company operates in four segments: U.S. Corrections & Detention, GEO Care, International Services, and Facility Construction & Design. The Company owns, leases and operates a range of correctional and detention facilities including maximum, medium and minimum security prisons, immigration detention centers, minimum security detention centers, as well as community based reentry facilities, and offers delivery of offender rehabilitation services under its GEO Continuum of Care platform. The GEO Continuum of Care program integrates in-prison programs, which include cognitive behavioral treatment and post-release services.

Company Coordinates

Company Details

4955 Technology Way , BOCA RATON FL : 33431

Tel: 1 561 8930101

https://www.geogroup.com/

Registrar Details

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