Aditya Vision Shows Mixed Technical Signals Amid Mildly Bullish Momentum

Price Momentum and Daily Trading Range

On 10 Dec 2025, Aditya Vision’s stock price closed at ₹514.00, marking a day change of 2.14% from the previous close of ₹503.25. The intraday trading range spanned from ₹498.05 to ₹514.00, indicating a positive price movement within the session. The stock remains below its 52-week high of ₹598.10 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹328.25, reflecting a broad trading range over the past year.

Technical Trend Shift and Moving Averages

The technical trend for Aditya Vision has transitioned from a sideways pattern to a mildly bullish trajectory. This shift is supported by daily moving averages, which currently signal a mildly bullish outlook. The alignment of short-term and medium-term moving averages suggests that the stock is experiencing upward price momentum, although the strength of this trend remains moderate rather than robust.

MACD and Momentum Oscillators

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed scenario. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains mildly bearish, indicating some underlying selling pressure or consolidation in the near term. Conversely, the monthly MACD reading is bullish, suggesting that longer-term momentum is more favourable. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlights the importance of considering multiple timeframes when analysing momentum.

RSI and Bollinger Bands Analysis

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no definitive signal, implying that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at these intervals. This neutral RSI reading suggests a balanced momentum without extreme price pressures. Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands indicate a mildly bearish stance on the weekly chart but a mildly bullish position on the monthly chart. This contrast further emphasises the mixed technical signals, with short-term volatility slightly skewed to the downside while longer-term volatility trends hint at potential upward movement.

Other Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV

The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which measures momentum across multiple timeframes, remains mildly bearish on both weekly and monthly charts. This suggests that despite some positive price action, the underlying momentum may not be fully supportive of a sustained rally. Similarly, Dow Theory analysis aligns with this mildly bearish view, indicating that the broader trend may still be under pressure.

On the other hand, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator presents a split picture: mildly bearish on the weekly chart but bullish on the monthly chart. The monthly bullish OBV suggests that accumulation could be occurring over the longer term, potentially supporting future price gains. However, the weekly bearish OBV signals caution in the short term, as volume trends have not yet confirmed a strong buying interest.

Comparative Returns: Aditya Vision vs Sensex

Examining returns over various periods provides additional context to Aditya Vision’s performance relative to the broader market. Over the past week, the stock recorded a return of -1.68%, compared with the Sensex’s -0.55%. The one-month return for Aditya Vision was -6.43%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 1.74% return. Year-to-date, the stock shows a modest 0.7% return, while the Sensex has gained 8.35%.

Longer-term returns paint a more favourable picture for Aditya Vision. Over the past year, the stock returned 8.73%, outpacing the Sensex’s 3.87%. The three-year return is particularly notable at 210.48%, significantly exceeding the Sensex’s 36.16%. Over five years, the stock’s return stands at an extraordinary 20,709.7%, dwarfing the Sensex’s 83.64%. These figures underscore the stock’s strong historical growth, despite recent short-term fluctuations.

Implications for Investors

The mixed signals from technical indicators suggest that investors should approach Aditya Vision with a balanced perspective. The mildly bullish daily moving averages and monthly MACD indicate potential for upward price movement, but the weekly bearish momentum indicators and neutral RSI readings counsel caution. The divergence between short-term and long-term technical signals highlights the importance of monitoring multiple timeframes to gauge the stock’s trajectory accurately.

Sector and Industry Context

Operating within the retailing sector, Aditya Vision’s performance is influenced by broader industry trends and consumer demand dynamics. The retail sector has faced varied challenges and opportunities in recent months, including shifts in consumer behaviour and supply chain adjustments. These factors may contribute to the stock’s current technical profile and should be considered alongside the technical analysis.

Summary and Outlook

Aditya Vision’s recent shift to a mildly bullish technical trend is supported by daily moving averages and monthly momentum indicators, while weekly signals remain cautious. The stock’s price action within the ₹498.05 to ₹514.00 range on 10 Dec 2025 reflects moderate buying interest, yet the mixed readings from MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, KST, Dow Theory, and OBV suggest that the momentum is not unequivocal.

Investors analysing Aditya Vision should weigh these technical nuances alongside the stock’s historical outperformance relative to the Sensex, particularly over multi-year horizons. The retailing sector’s evolving landscape adds another layer of complexity to the stock’s outlook. As such, a comprehensive approach that integrates technical analysis with sectoral and fundamental considerations will be essential for informed decision-making.

Technical indicators remain a vital tool in assessing Aditya Vision’s price momentum, but the current mixed signals call for careful monitoring of market developments and price action in the coming weeks.

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