AGI Greenpac Ltd Stock Falls to 52-Week Low of Rs.585.5

Stock Price Movement and Market Context

On 6 Feb 2026, AGI Greenpac Ltd (Stock ID: 591083) recorded its lowest price in the past year at Rs.585.5. This decline comes after a four-day consecutive fall, during which the stock lost 6.86% in value. Today’s performance saw the stock underperform its sector by 2.32%, reflecting a challenging environment for packaging stocks. The stock’s day change was negative at -1.17%, continuing a downward trend that has seen it trade below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages.

The broader market, represented by the Sensex, opened flat but moved into negative territory, closing at 83,173.27 points, down 0.17% or 64.61 points. Despite this, the Sensex remains relatively strong, trading just 3.59% below its 52-week high of 86,159.02. The index’s 50-day moving average remains above its 200-day moving average, signalling a generally positive medium-term trend for the market overall.

In contrast, AGI Greenpac Ltd’s one-year performance has been notably weaker, with a negative return of 21.61%, compared to the Sensex’s positive 6.59% return over the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.1,008.3, highlighting the extent of the recent decline.

Financial Performance and Valuation Metrics

AGI Greenpac Ltd’s recent financial results have been largely flat, with the company reporting a Profit Before Tax (PBT) less Other Income of Rs.95.94 crores in the latest quarter, representing a decline of 8.70%. Earnings Per Share (EPS) for the quarter stood at Rs.11.04, the lowest recorded in recent periods. Cash and cash equivalents at the half-year mark were reported at Rs.15.41 crores, the lowest level observed, which may be a factor in the stock’s subdued performance.

Despite these figures, the company maintains a relatively low average Debt to Equity ratio of 0.39 times, indicating a conservative capital structure. Operating profit has demonstrated healthy long-term growth, increasing at an annual rate of 30.82%, which suggests underlying operational strength despite recent earnings softness.

Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is reported at 16.7%, reflecting efficient use of capital. The company’s Enterprise Value to Capital Employed ratio stands at 1.6, indicating an attractive valuation relative to its capital base. The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers’ average historical valuations, which may be a reflection of the recent price decline and market sentiment.

Over the past year, while the stock price has fallen by 21.61%, the company’s profits have risen by 14.7%, resulting in a Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.8. This metric suggests that the stock’s valuation has become more favourable relative to its earnings growth, despite the recent price weakness.

Sector Position and Shareholding

With a market capitalisation of Rs.3,849 crores, AGI Greenpac Ltd is the second largest company in the packaging sector, trailing only Garware Hi-Tech. The company accounts for 14.98% of the sector’s total market capitalisation and contributes 8.86% of the industry’s annual sales, which total Rs.2,627.76 crores. Promoters remain the majority shareholders, maintaining significant control over the company’s strategic direction.

Mojo Score and Rating Update

AGI Greenpac Ltd’s Mojo Score currently stands at 44.0, reflecting a Sell rating. This represents a downgrade from the previous Hold rating, which was revised on 23 Oct 2025. The company’s Market Cap Grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation within its sector. The downgrade aligns with the stock’s recent price weakness and underperformance relative to the broader market and sector indices.

Summary of Recent Trends

The stock’s decline to Rs.585.5 marks a significant technical milestone, as it trades well below all major moving averages, signalling sustained downward momentum. The four-day consecutive fall and underperformance relative to the packaging sector highlight ongoing pressures on the stock price. While the broader market remains relatively resilient, AGI Greenpac Ltd’s performance has diverged, reflecting company-specific factors and valuation adjustments.

Despite the recent price decline, the company’s fundamentals show a mixed picture. Long-term operating profit growth and a solid ROCE suggest underlying business strength, while recent earnings softness and reduced cash reserves have weighed on sentiment. The valuation metrics indicate the stock is trading at a discount compared to peers, which may be a factor in the current rating and market positioning.

Overall, AGI Greenpac Ltd’s fall to a 52-week low underscores the challenges faced by the stock in the current market environment, with a combination of earnings trends, valuation shifts, and sector dynamics influencing its trajectory.

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