Stock Performance and Market Context
The stock has been on a downward trajectory, recording losses for two consecutive days with a cumulative decline of 2.41% over this period. Today’s fall of 1.22% further accentuates the negative momentum, with the share price now trading well below all key moving averages including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This technical positioning underscores the prevailing bearish sentiment surrounding the stock.
In comparison, the broader Sensex index opened flat but has since edged lower by 0.14%, trading at 84,925.36 points. Notably, the Sensex remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, just 1.45% shy of that peak, and is supported by bullish moving averages with the 50-day DMA positioned above the 200-day DMA. This contrast highlights Allcargo Logistics Ltd’s relative weakness within the transport services sector and the wider market.
Long-Term Performance and Financial Metrics
Over the past year, Allcargo Logistics Ltd has delivered a starkly negative return of -78.13%, a sharp underperformance against the Sensex’s positive 7.91% gain during the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.50.84, indicating a substantial erosion of value over the last twelve months.
The company’s financial results have mirrored this decline. Quarterly net sales stood at Rs.537.00 crore in the September 2025 quarter, representing a steep fall of 76.1% compared to the previous four-quarter average. The profit after tax (PAT) for the nine months ended September 2025 was a loss of Rs.15.59 crore, reflecting a deterioration of 34.41% year-on-year. Additionally, cash and cash equivalents at half-year stood at a low Rs.138.00 crore, signalling constrained liquidity levels.
Underlying Factors Affecting the Stock
One of the critical concerns weighing on Allcargo Logistics Ltd is its poor long-term growth trajectory. Operating profit has declined at an annualised rate of 39.45% over the past five years, indicating sustained pressure on profitability. This trend has contributed to the stock’s downgrade in rating, with its Mojo Grade recently lowered from Sell to Strong Sell as of 15 December 2025, reflecting heightened caution among market analysts.
Consistent underperformance against benchmarks has been a persistent theme. The stock has lagged the BSE500 index in each of the last three annual periods, compounding investor concerns about its competitive positioning and growth prospects within the transport services sector.
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Valuation and Debt Profile
Despite the challenges, Allcargo Logistics Ltd maintains a relatively strong ability to service its debt, with a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.50 times. This indicates manageable leverage levels compared to industry norms. The company’s return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 1.5%, which, while modest, contributes to an attractive valuation metric with an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 1.1 times. This valuation is discounted relative to the average historical valuations of its peers in the transport services sector.
However, the stock’s valuation discount has not translated into positive returns, as profits have declined by 59.5% over the past year, further reflecting operational and market pressures.
Shareholding and Sector Position
The majority shareholding remains with the promoters, indicating concentrated ownership. The company operates within the transport services industry, a sector that has seen mixed performance amid broader economic fluctuations and evolving logistics demands.
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Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Allcargo Logistics Ltd’s stock has reached a new low of Rs.10.51, reflecting a year-long decline of over 78%. The company’s financial performance has been marked by significant contraction in sales and profitability, with net sales falling by 76.1% in the latest quarter and a negative PAT for the nine-month period. The stock’s technical indicators remain weak, trading below all major moving averages, while its rating has been downgraded to Strong Sell with a Mojo Score of 28.0 as of mid-December 2025.
While the company maintains a manageable debt profile and a valuation discount relative to peers, these factors have not offset the broader challenges faced in revenue generation and profit margins. The transport services sector continues to evolve, and Allcargo Logistics Ltd’s recent performance highlights the difficulties encountered in sustaining growth and shareholder value.
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