Technical Trend Overview
The recent technical evaluation of Allcargo Terminals reveals a transition in price momentum. The daily moving averages indicate a mildly bullish trend, signalling that short-term price movements are gaining upward traction. However, weekly and monthly indicators present a more mixed picture. The weekly MACD remains mildly bearish, while the monthly MACD does not provide a definitive signal. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly timeframes shows no clear directional signal, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at present.
The Bollinger Bands on a weekly basis lean mildly bearish, indicating some price volatility and potential resistance near current levels, whereas the monthly Bollinger Bands suggest a sideways movement, reflecting a consolidation phase over the longer term. The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator on the weekly chart also aligns with a mildly bearish tone, reinforcing the cautious stance among traders.
Other technical tools such as Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) do not currently indicate a strong trend on either weekly or monthly scales, pointing to a lack of decisive volume-driven momentum or trend confirmation from broader market participation.
Price and Volume Dynamics
On 2 December 2025, Allcargo Terminals closed at ₹27.55, a marginal change from the previous close of ₹27.52. The stock’s intraday range spanned from ₹27.38 to ₹27.93, reflecting limited volatility within the session. The 52-week price range remains broad, with a high of ₹42.97 and a low of ₹19.61, underscoring significant price fluctuations over the past year.
Despite the recent mild bullish signals from moving averages, the stock’s price remains well below its 52-week high, indicating that upward momentum has yet to fully materialise. The subdued volume trends, as suggested by the neutral OBV readings, imply that any price movements are not strongly supported by trading activity, which may temper expectations for a sustained rally in the near term.
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Comparative Returns and Market Context
When analysing Allcargo Terminals’ returns relative to the broader market, the stock has underperformed the Sensex across multiple time horizons. Over the past week, the stock recorded a return of -1.5%, contrasting with the Sensex’s 0.87% gain. The one-month period shows a more pronounced divergence, with Allcargo Terminals at -18.92% against the Sensex’s 2.03% rise.
Year-to-date figures further highlight this disparity, as the stock’s return stands at -27.12%, while the Sensex has advanced by 9.60%. Over the last year, Allcargo Terminals’ performance registers at -29.97%, compared to the Sensex’s 7.32%. Longer-term data for three, five, and ten years is not available for the stock, but the Sensex’s robust gains of 35.33%, 91.78%, and 227.26% respectively, underscore the broader market’s sustained growth trajectory.
Sector and Industry Considerations
Operating within the transport infrastructure sector, Allcargo Terminals is subject to sector-specific dynamics including regulatory developments, infrastructure spending, and logistics demand. The current technical signals suggest a cautious optimism, with the mild bullish trend on daily moving averages potentially reflecting early signs of recovery or stabilisation in the sector.
However, the mixed signals from weekly and monthly indicators imply that investors and traders remain watchful, awaiting clearer confirmation of trend direction. The absence of strong volume support and the sideways movement in longer-term Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock may continue to experience consolidation before any decisive breakout.
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Technical Indicators in Detail
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, a popular momentum oscillator, shows a mildly bearish stance on the weekly chart for Allcargo Terminals. This suggests that the short-term momentum may be facing some resistance, despite the daily moving averages signalling a mild bullish trend. The monthly MACD does not provide a clear directional bias, indicating a neutral momentum over the longer term.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the speed and change of price movements, remains neutral on both weekly and monthly timeframes. This lack of extreme readings suggests that the stock is not currently in an overbought or oversold condition, which often precedes significant price reversals.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and potential price range, show a mildly bearish outlook on the weekly scale, hinting at some downward pressure or resistance near current price levels. The monthly Bollinger Bands’ sideways movement indicates a consolidation phase, where price fluctuations are contained within a defined range.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change calculations, aligns with the weekly MACD’s mildly bearish tone, reinforcing the view of cautious momentum. Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicators do not currently signal a definitive trend, reflecting a lack of strong directional conviction from market participants.
Investor Implications
For investors and market participants, the current technical landscape of Allcargo Terminals suggests a period of consolidation with tentative signs of upward momentum on shorter timeframes. The mild bullish signals from daily moving averages may encourage some interest, but the mixed readings from other indicators warrant a cautious approach.
Given the stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and the absence of strong volume support, it may be prudent to monitor further developments in technical indicators and price action before committing to significant positions. The broad sector environment and macroeconomic factors impacting transport infrastructure should also be considered in conjunction with technical signals.
Overall, the revision in the company’s evaluation metrics points to a nuanced market assessment, reflecting both potential opportunities and prevailing uncertainties in Allcargo Terminals’ price momentum.
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