Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 8 December 2025, Confidence Petroleum India’s share price touched Rs.35.26, the lowest level recorded in the past year. This new low comes after four consecutive sessions of decline, during which the stock has lost approximately 6.65% in value. The day’s trading saw the stock underperform its sector by 1.65%, with a day change of -1.44%. Notably, the stock is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling a persistent bearish trend.
The broader market environment has been mixed. The Sensex opened flat but later declined by 230.64 points, or 0.37%, closing at 85,394.20. Despite this dip, the Sensex remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, trading just 0.9% below that peak. The index is supported by bullish moving averages, with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average, indicating underlying market strength contrasting with Confidence Petroleum India’s performance.
Long-Term and Short-Term Performance Analysis
Over the last twelve months, Confidence Petroleum India’s stock has declined by 54.82%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s positive return of 4.53% over the same period. This underperformance extends beyond the recent year, with the stock lagging behind the BSE500 index across one-year, three-year, and three-month timeframes. The 52-week high for the stock was Rs.84, highlighting the extent of the price contraction.
Domestic mutual funds currently hold no stake in Confidence Petroleum India, a notable factor given their capacity for detailed company research. This absence of institutional backing may reflect a cautious stance towards the company’s valuation or business prospects at prevailing price levels.
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Financial Health and Operational Metrics
Despite the stock’s price challenges, Confidence Petroleum India demonstrates a capacity to manage its financial obligations effectively. The company’s Debt to EBITDA ratio stands at 1.31 times, indicating a relatively low leverage level and a strong ability to service debt. This financial metric suggests that the company maintains a manageable debt burden relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation.
In terms of growth, the company’s net sales have expanded at an annual rate of 36.39%, while operating profit has grown at 33.45% over the long term. The latest six-month period shows net sales of Rs.2,095 crore, reflecting a growth rate of 37.50%, and a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs.40.49 crore, which has increased by 23.63%. These figures indicate that the company’s core business activities have been generating positive momentum despite the stock’s price decline.
Valuation and Profitability Considerations
Confidence Petroleum India’s return on capital employed (ROCE) is recorded at 7.8%, accompanied by an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 0.9. These valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical averages. Over the past year, while the stock price has fallen by 54.82%, the company’s profits have risen by 33.4%, resulting in a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5. This divergence between earnings growth and stock price performance highlights a complex valuation scenario.
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Sector and Peer Comparison
Confidence Petroleum India operates within the gas industry, a sector that has experienced varied performance across different companies. The stock’s current valuation discount relative to peers may reflect market perceptions of its growth trajectory and risk profile. While the company has posted positive results for three consecutive quarters, its stock price has not mirrored this operational progress, suggesting a divergence between market valuation and company fundamentals.
Summary of Key Price and Performance Indicators
The stock’s 52-week high of Rs.84 contrasts sharply with the recent low of Rs.35.26, underscoring the volatility experienced over the past year. The sustained decline over the last four trading sessions, combined with underperformance relative to the sector and broader market indices, highlights the challenges faced by Confidence Petroleum India in regaining investor confidence at current levels.
While the Sensex maintains a position near its yearly peak and trades above key moving averages, Confidence Petroleum India’s share price remains below all major moving averages, reflecting a cautious market stance. The absence of domestic mutual fund holdings further emphasises the restrained institutional interest in the stock at present.
Overall, the stock’s recent movement to a 52-week low encapsulates a period of price correction amid mixed financial signals and sector dynamics. The company’s ability to sustain sales growth and profitability contrasts with the subdued market valuation, illustrating the complexity of its current market position.
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