Crest Ventures Ltd Faces Bearish Momentum Amid Technical Downturn

Technical Trend Overview

The technical trend for Crest Ventures has deteriorated from mildly bearish to outright bearish, reflecting increased selling pressure and weakening momentum. The daily moving averages have turned bearish, indicating that the stock’s short-term price action is under strain. This shift is corroborated by the weekly and monthly MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) readings, which remain bearish and mildly bearish respectively, signalling that the momentum is skewed towards the downside.

Further, the Bollinger Bands analysis reveals a mildly bearish stance on the weekly chart and a bearish outlook on the monthly chart, suggesting that volatility is increasing on the downside and the stock price is likely to remain under pressure in the near term. The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator, a momentum oscillator, also aligns with this view, showing mildly bearish signals on both weekly and monthly timeframes.

Momentum and Oscillator Signals

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows no clear signal on either the weekly or monthly charts, hovering in a neutral zone. This lack of momentum confirmation from RSI suggests that while the stock is not yet oversold, it is also not exhibiting strong buying interest. The Dow Theory assessment is mildly bearish on the weekly chart but shows no definitive trend on the monthly scale, indicating some uncertainty in the broader market context for Crest Ventures.

Interestingly, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator presents a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart, implying that despite price weakness, there is some accumulation by volume. However, the monthly OBV shows no clear trend, which tempers optimism and suggests that any buying interest may be short-lived or insufficient to reverse the prevailing downtrend.

Price Action and Volatility

On 12 Feb 2026, Crest Ventures closed at ₹372.25, down 2.54% from the previous close of ₹381.95. The intraday range was relatively narrow, with a low of ₹371.40 and a high of ₹377.95, indicating limited volatility but persistent selling pressure. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹450.00, while comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹304.55, reflecting a wide trading range over the past year.

This price behaviour suggests that while the stock has experienced significant gains over the longer term, recent momentum has faltered, and the bears have gained the upper hand in the short to medium term.

Comparative Returns and Market Context

Despite the recent technical weakness, Crest Ventures has delivered impressive returns over longer horizons. Over the past 10 years, the stock has surged by 718.13%, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 267.00% gain. Similarly, over five years, Crest Ventures returned 301.78% compared to the Sensex’s 63.46%, and over three years, it outpaced the benchmark with a 104.48% gain versus 38.81% for the Sensex.

However, the recent one-year performance has been disappointing, with the stock declining 7.23% while the Sensex rose 10.41%. Year-to-date, Crest Ventures is down 2.81%, underperforming the Sensex’s 1.16% loss. The one-month return also shows a negative 1.99% for Crest Ventures against a positive 0.79% for the Sensex, highlighting the stock’s recent struggles amid broader market resilience.

Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings

MarketsMOJO’s proprietary Mojo Score for Crest Ventures currently stands at 19.0, categorised as a Strong Sell. This represents a downgrade from the previous Sell rating as of 31 Dec 2025, reflecting deteriorating fundamentals and technicals. The Market Cap Grade is 4, indicating a relatively small market capitalisation within the NBFC sector, which may contribute to higher volatility and risk.

The downgrade to Strong Sell is consistent with the bearish technical signals and recent price underperformance, signalling caution for investors considering exposure to this stock at present.

Sector and Industry Considerations

Crest Ventures operates within the NBFC sector, which has faced headwinds due to tightening credit conditions and regulatory scrutiny. The sector’s overall performance has been mixed, with some companies showing resilience while others struggle with asset quality and liquidity challenges. Crest Ventures’ technical deterioration may partly reflect these sectoral pressures, compounded by company-specific factors.

Investor Implications and Outlook

Given the current technical landscape, investors should approach Crest Ventures with caution. The bearish moving averages and MACD readings suggest that the stock may continue to face downward pressure in the short to medium term. The absence of strong RSI signals indicates that the stock is not yet oversold, leaving room for further declines.

However, the mildly bullish OBV on the weekly chart hints at some underlying accumulation, which could provide a base for a potential rebound if accompanied by positive fundamental developments or sector tailwinds. Investors with a longer-term horizon may consider the stock’s strong historical returns but should remain vigilant to technical signals and market conditions.

Risk-averse investors might prefer to wait for confirmation of a trend reversal, such as a bullish crossover in MACD or a sustained move above key moving averages, before increasing exposure. Conversely, more aggressive traders could look for short-term opportunities to capitalise on volatility, keeping tight stop-losses in place.

Summary

Crest Ventures Ltd’s technical parameters have shifted decisively towards bearishness, with multiple indicators confirming weakening momentum. The stock’s recent price action and technical signals warrant caution, despite its impressive long-term returns relative to the Sensex. The downgrade to a Strong Sell rating by MarketsMOJO underscores the risks currently facing the stock. Investors should carefully weigh these factors against their risk tolerance and investment horizon before making decisions.

Monitoring key technical indicators such as MACD, moving averages, and OBV will be crucial in assessing any potential change in trend. Until then, the prevailing signals suggest that Crest Ventures remains under pressure in a challenging NBFC sector environment.

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