Trading Volume and Price Action Overview
On 29 Dec 2025, NMDC Ltd recorded a total traded volume of 19,496,213 shares, translating to a traded value of approximately ₹161.62 crores. This volume surge places NMDC among the most actively traded stocks on the day, reflecting heightened investor interest. The stock opened at ₹83.50, reached a day high of ₹84.15—marking a new 52-week high—and closed at ₹82.27, down marginally by 0.50% from the previous close of ₹82.61.
While the price underperformed its sector by 0.54% and the Sensex by 0.36%, the volume surge indicates that the decline was met with significant buying interest, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. The stock’s ability to hit a fresh 52-week high during the session further underscores underlying strength despite the minor price setback.
Technical Indicators and Moving Averages
NMDC is currently trading above its key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This alignment of moving averages is a classic bullish signal, indicating sustained upward momentum over multiple time frames. The stock’s relative strength is further supported by its Mojo Score of 77.0, which has recently prompted an upgrade in its Mojo Grade from Hold to Buy as of 1 Dec 2025.
The upgrade reflects improved fundamentals and technical outlook, positioning NMDC as a favourable pick within the Minerals & Mining sector. The company’s market capitalisation stands at ₹73,280 crores, categorising it as a mid-cap stock with ample liquidity for institutional and retail investors alike.
Investor Participation and Delivery Volumes
Despite the surge in traded volume, delivery volumes have shown a decline. On 26 Dec 2025, delivery volume was recorded at 1.14 crore shares, which is down by 18.89% compared to the five-day average delivery volume. This divergence suggests that while trading activity is high, a portion of it may be speculative or intraday in nature rather than long-term accumulation.
However, the overall liquidity remains robust, with the stock’s average traded value supporting trade sizes up to ₹5.53 crores comfortably. This liquidity profile is attractive for larger investors seeking to enter or exit positions without significant market impact.
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Dividend Yield and Sector Comparison
NMDC offers a healthy dividend yield of 3.99% at the current price level, which is attractive relative to peers in the Minerals & Mining sector. This yield, combined with the stock’s technical strength, enhances its appeal to income-focused investors seeking stable returns alongside capital appreciation potential.
Comparatively, the sector’s one-day return was a modest 0.05%, while the Sensex declined by 0.14%, highlighting NMDC’s relative resilience. The stock’s ability to maintain levels above key moving averages amidst sectoral volatility suggests it is benefiting from selective accumulation by market participants.
Accumulation/Distribution Signals and Market Sentiment
Volume analysis reveals a strong accumulation pattern for NMDC. The surge in traded volume coupled with a minor price decline typically indicates that sellers are being absorbed by buyers, a positive sign for medium-term price stability. The new 52-week high reached during the session further confirms that demand is outpacing supply at higher price levels.
Market participants appear to be positioning for a favourable outlook on iron ore and mineral prices, which underpin NMDC’s earnings prospects. The company’s strategic initiatives and government backing also contribute to positive sentiment, reflected in the recent upgrade to a Buy rating by MarketsMOJO.
Outlook and Investment Considerations
Investors should note that while the stock’s short-term price movement was slightly negative, the overall technical and fundamental backdrop remains constructive. The upgrade in Mojo Grade and strong volume activity suggest that NMDC is well placed to benefit from sectoral tailwinds and improving commodity demand.
However, the decline in delivery volumes warrants caution, as it may indicate some short-term profit booking or speculative trading. Long-term investors should monitor upcoming quarterly results and commodity price trends closely to validate the sustainability of the current momentum.
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Summary
NMDC Ltd’s exceptional volume surge on 29 Dec 2025, combined with its technical strength and recent rating upgrade, positions it as a compelling stock within the Minerals & Mining sector. Despite a slight price dip, the accumulation signals and new 52-week high indicate robust investor interest and potential for further gains.
With a market cap of ₹73,280 crores and a dividend yield nearing 4%, NMDC offers a balanced proposition for investors seeking both growth and income. Monitoring delivery volumes and sectoral developments will be key to assessing the sustainability of this momentum in the coming weeks.
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