Key Events This Week
29 Dec 2025: Stock opens week at Rs.325.50 with positive start
31 Dec 2025: Price rebounds with 1.42% gain amid market recovery
1 Jan 2026: Technical momentum shifts amid mixed signals, stock gains 2.08%
2 Jan 2026: Intraday high of Rs.346.90 with strong 3.14% surge
29 December 2025: Positive Start Despite Sensex Decline
NTPC Ltd. commenced the week on a positive note, closing at Rs.325.50, up 0.45% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.324.05. This gain contrasted with the Sensex, which declined 0.41% to 37,140.23 points. The stock’s outperformance on a day of broader market weakness suggested early buying interest and resilience in the power sector.
30 December 2025: Minor Correction Amid Market Stability
The stock experienced a slight pullback on 30 December, closing at Rs.324.85, down 0.20%. This modest decline occurred alongside a flat Sensex, which edged down 0.01% to 37,135.83. The low trading volume of 194,208 shares indicated limited conviction, with the stock consolidating near its opening levels.
31 December 2025: Rebound with Market Recovery
NTPC rebounded strongly on the final trading day of 2025, gaining 1.42% to close at Rs.329.45. This rise coincided with a robust Sensex rally of 0.83%, closing at 37,443.41. The stock’s recovery aligned with broader market optimism as investors positioned for the new year, supported by improving technical indicators.
1 January 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Mixed Signals
On the first trading day of 2026, NTPC advanced 2.08% to Rs.336.30, reflecting a notable shift in technical momentum. Despite the gain, technical analysis revealed a complex picture: weekly indicators such as MACD and KST remained bearish, while monthly signals improved to mildly bearish, indicating a tentative stabilisation rather than a clear uptrend.
The stock traded within a range of Rs.324.55 to Rs.330.60 intraday, remaining below its 52-week high of Rs.371.10 but comfortably above the 52-week low of Rs.292.70. Volume was moderate at 201,051 shares, with On-Balance Volume showing mixed weekly and monthly trends. The Sensex closed slightly higher by 0.14% at 37,497.10, reflecting a cautiously optimistic market backdrop.
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2 January 2026: Strong Intraday Surge to Rs.346.90
NTPC Ltd. demonstrated robust strength on 2 January, surging 4.67% to close at Rs.352.00, with an intraday high of Rs.346.90 representing a 3.15% increase from the previous close. This marked the stock’s highest level in the week and underscored sustained buying momentum.
The stock outperformed the Sensex, which rose 0.81% to 37,799.57, by 3.86 percentage points. Trading volume surged to 1,595,181 shares, reflecting heightened investor interest. NTPC traded above all major moving averages (5, 20, 50, 100, and 200 days), signalling a positive technical trend across multiple timeframes.
This strong performance capped a three-day winning streak, delivering a cumulative return of 6.62%. Relative to the power sector, NTPC outpaced peers by 1.22% on the day, reinforcing its leadership position within the industry segment.
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| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Rs.325.50 | +0.45% | 37,140.23 | -0.41% |
| 2025-12-30 | Rs.324.85 | -0.20% | 37,135.83 | -0.01% |
| 2025-12-31 | Rs.329.45 | +1.42% | 37,443.41 | +0.83% |
| 2026-01-01 | Rs.336.30 | +2.08% | 37,497.10 | +0.14% |
| 2026-01-02 | Rs.352.00 | +4.67% | 37,799.57 | +0.81% |
Key Takeaways
NTPC Ltd.’s 8.63% weekly gain significantly outperformed the Sensex’s 1.35% rise, highlighting strong relative strength. The stock’s technical momentum showed a nuanced shift from bearish to mildly bearish, with mixed signals across weekly and monthly indicators. Despite the cautious technical outlook, the stock’s ability to trade above all major moving averages and sustain a three-day winning streak indicates improving price structure.
Volume trends were mixed early in the week but surged notably on 2 January, supporting the strong price advance. The intraday high of Rs.346.90 and closing price of Rs.352.00 on the final trading day mark important resistance breakouts, signalling potential for further momentum if sustained.
However, the downgrade to a Sell rating with a Mojo Score of 42.0 reflects underlying caution, suggesting investors should monitor key support levels near Rs.292.70 and watch for confirmation of sustained technical strength before committing to new positions.
Sectoral headwinds and regulatory uncertainties continue to weigh on the power industry, and NTPC’s mixed technical signals mirror these challenges. The stock’s strong short-term gains contrast with its modest year-to-date and one-year returns, underscoring the importance of a balanced view.
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Conclusion
NTPC Ltd. closed the week with a strong 8.63% gain, driven by a combination of technical momentum shifts and a powerful intraday surge on 2 January 2026. While the stock’s recent price action demonstrates resilience and leadership within the power sector, mixed technical signals and a cautious Mojo Sell rating advise prudence. Investors should closely monitor price levels and volume trends in the coming sessions to assess whether the current momentum can be sustained amid sectoral and market uncertainties.
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