Key Events This Week
29 Dec 2025: Stock opens at Rs.3,259.35, down 1.23%
30 Dec 2025: Upgrade to Buy announced; stock rallies 3.42% to Rs.3,370.80
31 Dec 2025: Profit-taking leads to 2.21% decline to Rs.3,296.30
1 Jan 2026: Further dip of 1.28% to Rs.3,254.25
2 Jan 2026: Technical momentum shift noted; stock falls 4.89% to Rs.3,095.10
29 December 2025: Weak Start Amid Broader Market Decline
Radico Khaitan began the week on a subdued note, closing at Rs.3,259.35, down 1.23% from the previous close. This decline occurred alongside a 0.41% drop in the Sensex to 37,140.23, reflecting cautious sentiment in the market as investors digested year-end developments. The stock’s volume was relatively low at 5,918 shares, indicating limited trading interest on the first day of the week.
30 December 2025: Upgrade to Buy Spurs 3.42% Rally
The highlight of the week came on 30 December when MarketsMOJO upgraded Radico Khaitan Ltd. from a Hold to a Buy rating. This upgrade was driven by strong financials, including a 29.19% year-on-year growth in net sales to ₹4,304.05 crores for the nine months ended December 2025, and robust operational metrics such as a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.04 times and a 19.3% ROCE. The upgrade also reflected bullish technical indicators, with daily moving averages firmly positive and monthly momentum signals strengthening.
Following the announcement, the stock surged 3.42% to close at Rs.3,370.80 on heavy volume of 25,131 shares, outperforming the Sensex which was nearly flat, down 0.01% at 37,135.83. This rally demonstrated investor enthusiasm for the company’s improved outlook and reinforced confidence in its growth trajectory.
Quarter after quarter, this Small Cap from the Lifestyle sector delivers without fail! Just added to our Reliable Performers with proven staying power. Stability meets growth here beautifully.
- - Consistent quarterly delivery
- - Proven staying power
- - Stability with growth
See the Consistent Performer →
31 December 2025: Profit-Taking Triggers 2.21% Decline
After the strong rally, Radico Khaitan saw profit-taking on 31 December, with the stock retreating 2.21% to Rs.3,296.30 on a volume of 14,470 shares. This pullback came despite a 0.83% gain in the Sensex to 37,443.41, signalling some divergence from broader market strength. The correction was likely a natural consolidation following the previous day’s sharp gains, as investors locked in short-term profits ahead of the new year.
1 January 2026: Continued Weakness Amid Low Volume
The first trading day of 2026 saw Radico Khaitan decline further by 1.28% to Rs.3,254.25, with volume dropping sharply to 3,379 shares. The Sensex edged up 0.14% to 37,497.10, indicating that the stock’s weakness was not reflective of broader market trends. This modest decline suggested cautious sentiment persisted, possibly due to uncertainty around the sustainability of the recent upgrade-driven rally.
2 January 2026: Technical Momentum Shift and Sharp 4.89% Drop
On 2 January, Radico Khaitan closed at Rs.3,095.10, plunging 4.89% on heavy volume of 36,258 shares. This sharp decline coincided with a technical momentum shift from bullish to mildly bullish, as detailed in a MarketsMOJO report. While monthly indicators such as MACD and Bollinger Bands remained positive, weekly momentum showed signs of weakening, with the weekly MACD mildly bearish and the Know Sure Thing oscillator also signalling caution.
The stock’s price action reflected this mixed technical outlook, with a notable underperformance relative to the Sensex’s 0.81% gain to 37,799.57. Despite the dip, Radico Khaitan remains well above its 52-week low of Rs.1,846.10, though below its 52-week high of Rs.3,695.00, indicating some resilience amid volatility.
Want to dive deeper on Radico Khaitan Ltd.? There's a real-time research report diving right into the fundamentals, valuations, peer comparison, financials, technicals and much more!
- - Real-time research report
- - Complete fundamental analysis
- - Peer comparison included
Daily Price Comparison: Radico Khaitan Ltd. vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Rs.3,259.35 | -1.23% | 37,140.23 | -0.41% |
| 2025-12-30 | Rs.3,370.80 | +3.42% | 37,135.83 | -0.01% |
| 2025-12-31 | Rs.3,296.30 | -2.21% | 37,443.41 | +0.83% |
| 2026-01-01 | Rs.3,254.25 | -1.28% | 37,497.10 | +0.14% |
| 2026-01-02 | Rs.3,095.10 | -4.89% | 37,799.57 | +0.81% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The upgrade to a Buy rating on 29 December was supported by strong financial fundamentals, including a 29.19% year-on-year sales growth and a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.04 times. Institutional investor confidence remains high with a 43.47% stake, and the company’s long-term returns have significantly outpaced the Sensex, delivering 27.23% over the past year and over 600% in five years.
Cautionary Signals: Despite the upgrade, the stock faced profit-taking and technical momentum shifts that led to a 6.21% weekly decline. Weekly technical indicators such as MACD and KST suggest short-term momentum weakening, while valuation metrics remain elevated with an Enterprise Value to Capital Employed ratio of 12.4. The PEG ratio of 1.5 indicates growth expectations are priced in, leaving limited room for disappointment.
Conclusion
Radico Khaitan Ltd.’s week was characterised by a sharp contrast between fundamental optimism and technical caution. The MarketsMOJO upgrade to Buy reflected robust financial health and improving medium-term momentum, yet the stock’s price action revealed vulnerability to short-term profit-taking and mixed technical signals. While the company’s long-term performance and institutional backing remain strong pillars, investors should monitor near-term momentum indicators closely amid the broader market’s steady gains. The stock’s premium valuation and recent volatility underscore the need for careful assessment of risk versus reward in the current environment.
Only Rs. 9,999 - Get MojoOne + Stock of the Week for 1 Year (MRP = Rs. 34,999) Start Saving Now →
