Intraday Price Movement and Market Context
On 26 Dec 2025, Samrat Forgings touched an intraday low of Rs.236.15, representing a 4.7% decline from its previous close. This movement placed the stock below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained downward momentum. The stock's performance lagged behind the castings and forgings sector, which itself faced pressure, with Samrat Forgings underperforming the sector by 4.61% on the day.
Meanwhile, the broader market showed mixed signals. The Sensex opened 183.42 points lower and was trading at 85,098.56, down 0.36%. Despite this, the Sensex remained close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, just 1.25% away, supported by bullish moving averages where the 50-day moving average remained above the 200-day moving average. Mid-cap stocks led the market with the BSE Mid Cap index gaining 0.09% on the day, contrasting with the performance of Samrat Forgings.
Long-Term Price Performance and Comparison
Over the past year, Samrat Forgings has recorded a negative return of 25.97%, a stark contrast to the Sensex's positive return of 8.44% during the same period. The stock's 52-week high was Rs.368.50, indicating a substantial decline from its peak. This underperformance highlights the stock's challenges relative to the broader market and its sector peers.
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Financial Metrics and Debt Position
Samrat Forgings operates within the castings and forgings industry, a sector that demands capital-intensive operations and efficient debt management. The company is characterised by a high debt load, which has influenced its financial stability. Its ability to service debt is reflected in an average EBIT to interest ratio of 1.89, indicating limited coverage of interest expenses by operating earnings.
Operating profit growth over the last five years has been recorded at an annual rate of 15.50%, a figure that suggests modest expansion but may not be sufficient to offset the pressures from debt servicing and market competition. The company’s long-term fundamental strength is considered weak, which has contributed to the subdued market sentiment.
Recent Quarterly and Nine-Month Results
The company’s financial results for the nine months ended September 2025 show a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs.2.59 crore, reflecting a contraction of 31.84% compared to the previous period. Quarterly earnings before depreciation, interest, and taxes (PBDIT) stood at Rs.3.69 crore, marking the lowest level recorded in recent quarters. Additionally, the operating profit to net sales ratio for the quarter was 7.12%, also the lowest in the recent period under review.
These figures indicate a challenging environment for Samrat Forgings, with profitability metrics under pressure and margins contracting. The decline in PAT and operating profit ratios suggests that the company is facing difficulties in maintaining earnings quality amid its current market conditions.
Shareholding and Market Capitalisation
The majority shareholding in Samrat Forgings is held by promoters, which remains a significant factor in the company’s governance and strategic direction. The market capitalisation grade assigned to the company is relatively low, reflecting its current valuation and market standing within the castings and forgings sector.
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Sector and Market Comparison
Within the castings and forgings sector, Samrat Forgings’ recent performance contrasts with broader market trends. While the BSE Mid Cap index has shown gains of 0.09% on the day, and the Sensex remains near its 52-week high, Samrat Forgings continues to trade below all major moving averages. This divergence highlights the stock’s relative weakness amid a market environment where mid-cap stocks are generally leading gains.
Over the last year, the BSE500 index has generated returns of 5.89%, whereas Samrat Forgings has recorded a negative return of 25.97%. This underperformance underscores the challenges faced by the company in aligning with broader market momentum and sectoral growth.
Summary of Key Price and Performance Indicators
To summarise, Samrat Forgings’ stock price has declined to Rs.236.15, its lowest level in 52 weeks, with a day’s decline of 4.7%. The stock is trading below all significant moving averages, signalling sustained downward pressure. The company’s financial results reveal contraction in profitability and limited capacity to service debt, factors that have influenced market sentiment. Compared to the Sensex and sector indices, the stock has underperformed significantly over the past year.
Investors and market participants will note the contrast between Samrat Forgings’ current valuation and the broader market’s positive trajectory, particularly in mid-cap stocks and the Sensex’s proximity to its 52-week high. The company’s financial metrics and shareholding structure remain important considerations in understanding its market position.
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