Price Movement and Market Context
On 1 Jan 2026, Shakti Pumps closed at ₹724.75, marking a 3.45% increase from the previous close of ₹700.60. The intraday range was between ₹704.10 and ₹736.30, reflecting heightened volatility. However, the stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of ₹1,398.00, indicating persistent downward pressure over the past year. The 52-week low stands at ₹549.00, suggesting the current price is closer to the lower end of its annual trading range.
Comparatively, Shakti Pumps has underperformed the Sensex over the past year and year-to-date (YTD) periods. While the Sensex posted a 9.06% gain over the last 12 months, Shakti Pumps declined by 31.89%. This divergence highlights company-specific challenges despite a generally bullish market backdrop. Over longer horizons, however, the stock has delivered exceptional returns, with a 10-year gain of 2,591.98% versus the Sensex’s 226.30%, underscoring its historical growth potential.
Technical Trend Analysis: From Bearish to Mildly Bearish
The technical trend for Shakti Pumps has shifted from outright bearish to mildly bearish, signalling a tentative stabilisation but no clear reversal. This subtle change is reflected in several key indicators:
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The weekly MACD remains bearish, indicating downward momentum in the short term. The monthly MACD, however, has improved to mildly bearish, suggesting that longer-term selling pressure may be easing.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): Both weekly and monthly RSI readings currently show no definitive signal, implying the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral stance points to a consolidation phase rather than a decisive trend.
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly Bollinger Bands indicate bearish conditions, with price action near the lower band, while monthly bands have softened to mildly bearish. This suggests volatility remains elevated but may be contracting.
- Moving Averages: Daily moving averages are mildly bearish, with the stock price hovering just below key averages, indicating resistance to upward momentum.
- KST (Know Sure Thing): The weekly KST remains bearish, but the monthly KST has improved to mildly bearish, mirroring the MACD’s longer-term outlook.
- Dow Theory: Weekly signals are mildly bullish, hinting at some short-term optimism, but monthly signals remain mildly bearish, reflecting caution over sustained trends.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume): Both weekly and monthly OBV show no clear trend, indicating volume is not confirming price moves decisively.
These mixed signals suggest that while short-term momentum remains weak, there is potential for a gradual recovery if positive catalysts emerge. Investors should monitor these indicators closely for confirmation of trend changes.
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Mojo Score and Rating Update
MarketsMOJO has recently downgraded Shakti Pumps from a Hold to a Sell rating, reflecting the deteriorating technical and fundamental outlook. The current Mojo Score stands at 41.0, which is below the threshold for a positive recommendation. The downgrade was issued on 6 Nov 2025, signalling increased caution among analysts.
The Market Cap Grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the Compressors, Pumps & Diesel Engines sector. This rating downgrade aligns with the stock’s recent underperformance and mixed technical signals, suggesting investors should reassess their exposure.
Sector and Industry Context
Shakti Pumps operates within the Compressors, Pumps & Diesel Engines sector, which has experienced varied performance amid fluctuating demand and raw material cost pressures. While some peers have shown resilience, Shakti Pumps’ technical indicators suggest it is lagging behind sector momentum. The stock’s recent mild bullish weekly Dow Theory signal contrasts with the broader monthly bearishness, highlighting sector-specific headwinds that may be weighing on the company’s shares.
Long-Term Performance Versus Sensex
Despite recent setbacks, Shakti Pumps’ long-term returns remain impressive. Over three years, the stock has surged 964.41%, vastly outperforming the Sensex’s 40.07% gain. Over five and ten years, the stock’s returns of 1,369.68% and 2,591.98% respectively dwarf the Sensex’s 78.47% and 226.30%. This historical outperformance underscores the company’s growth potential, though recent technical signals counsel prudence.
Investor Implications and Outlook
For investors, the current technical landscape suggests a cautious approach. The mildly bearish trend and mixed indicator signals imply that while a recovery is possible, confirmation is needed before committing to new positions. The absence of strong volume support and neutral RSI readings indicate consolidation rather than a breakout.
Traders may consider watching for a sustained break above daily moving averages and a shift in MACD and KST to bullish territory as potential entry signals. Conversely, failure to hold current support levels near ₹700 could trigger further downside.
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Summary
Shakti Pumps (India) Ltd is currently navigating a complex technical environment characterised by a shift from bearish to mildly bearish momentum. While short-term indicators remain cautious, longer-term signals show tentative improvement. The recent Mojo downgrade to Sell and a modest Mojo Score of 41.0 reflect these challenges. Investors should weigh the stock’s strong historical returns against current technical uncertainties and sector headwinds before making investment decisions.
Continued monitoring of MACD, RSI, moving averages, and volume trends will be essential to gauge the stock’s next directional move. Until clearer bullish confirmation emerges, a conservative stance is advisable.
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