Key Events This Week
2 Feb: Stock hits 52-week low at Rs.139.65
2 Feb: Downgrade to Strong Sell by MarketsMOJO
2 Feb: Valuation shifts from Very Attractive to Attractive
6 Feb: Week closes at Rs.148.70 (+3.84%)
2 February: Stock Hits 52-Week Low Amid Sector and Financial Pressures
Star Paper Mills opened the week under pressure, falling to a 52-week low of Rs.139.65 on 2 February 2026. The stock declined 1.89% to close at Rs.140.50, underperforming the Sensex which dropped 1.03% that day. This decline reflected ongoing challenges in the Paper, Forest & Jute Products sector and was exacerbated by weak financial metrics and operational concerns.
The company’s share price fell below all key moving averages, signalling sustained downward momentum. The 52-week low contrasted sharply with the stock’s 52-week high of Rs.192.90, underscoring the extent of recent price erosion. The decline was also influenced by a high promoter share pledge of 47.21%, which can increase selling pressure in volatile markets.
MarketsMOJO Downgrades Star Paper Mills to Strong Sell
On the same day, MarketsMOJO downgraded Star Paper Mills from a 'Sell' to a 'Strong Sell' rating, citing deteriorating financial trends and valuation concerns. The downgrade was driven by a low Return on Equity (ROE) of 5.5%, poor management efficiency, and declining profitability. The company’s operating cash flow was reported at a low ₹14.84 crores, with profit before tax excluding other income falling 28.84% year-on-year to ₹5.28 crores.
Despite an improvement in valuation metrics, the downgrade reflected concerns over negative cash flows, weak returns on capital employed, and persistent underperformance relative to benchmarks. The stock’s Mojo Score stood at 28.0, indicating weak fundamentals and market sentiment.
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Valuation Shifts Signal Renewed Price Attractiveness
Alongside the downgrade, Star Paper Mills’ valuation grade shifted from “Very Attractive” to “Attractive.” The stock trades at a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.83 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.32, indicating it remains undervalued relative to peers. However, negative enterprise value to EBITDA (-0.73) and other negative capital employed metrics temper this valuation appeal.
Compared to sector peers such as String Metaverse, which trades at a P/E of 57.45 and is rated “Very Expensive,” Star Paper Mills’ valuation is notably more affordable. Other peers like Pudumjee Paper and Emami Paper hold “Attractive” valuations but at higher multiples. Despite this, the company’s modest ROE of 5.5% and negative financial trends suggest operational challenges that may limit near-term upside.
Midweek Recovery and Volume Spike
On 3 February, the stock marginally recovered, gaining 0.28% to close at Rs.140.90, while the Sensex surged 2.63% to 36,755.96. This rebound was modest and accompanied by lower volume, indicating cautious investor sentiment. The following day, 4 February, Star Paper Mills posted a strong gain of 5.82%, closing at Rs.149.10, outperforming the Sensex’s 0.37% rise. This rally was supported by the attractive valuation narrative and some technical buying.
However, on 5 February, gains plateaued with a 0.23% increase to Rs.149.45 amid a Sensex decline of 0.53%. The week ended on 6 February with a slight pullback of 0.50% to Rs.148.70, despite the Sensex rising 0.10%. Notably, volume surged to 3,884 shares on the final day, suggesting increased trading interest possibly linked to repositioning ahead of the weekend.
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Daily Price Comparison: Star Paper Mills vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.140.50 | -1.89% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.140.90 | +0.28% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.149.10 | +5.82% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.149.45 | +0.23% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.148.70 | -0.50% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
Key Takeaways from the Week
Positive Signals: Star Paper Mills demonstrated resilience by recovering from a 52-week low to close the week with a 3.84% gain, outperforming the Sensex’s 1.51% rise. The stock’s valuation remains attractive with low P/E and P/B ratios relative to peers, offering potential value entry points. The low debt-to-equity ratio indicates a conservative capital structure, reducing leverage risk.
Cautionary Signals: The downgrade to a strong sell rating highlights significant concerns around profitability, management efficiency, and negative cash flow trends. The high promoter share pledge of 47.21% poses additional downside risk through potential forced selling. Negative enterprise multiples and subdued returns on equity and capital employed suggest operational challenges that may constrain earnings growth.
Volume patterns indicate cautious investor sentiment, with a notable spike on the final trading day possibly reflecting repositioning rather than sustained buying interest. The stock’s underperformance over longer timeframes compared to the Sensex and sector peers underscores persistent headwinds.
Conclusion: A Week of Mixed Signals Amid Fundamental Challenges
Star Paper Mills Ltd.’s week was characterised by a sharp initial decline to a 52-week low, followed by a steady recovery that outpaced the broader market. Despite this short-term price strength, fundamental challenges remain pronounced, as reflected in the strong sell rating and weak financial metrics. The shift in valuation from very attractive to attractive signals some renewed price appeal, but negative cash flows and operational inefficiencies temper optimism.
Investors should weigh the stock’s valuation appeal against the risks posed by profitability pressures and high promoter pledging. The week’s price action suggests cautious optimism but underscores the need for careful monitoring of financial trends and market sentiment going forward.
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