Price Movement and Market Context
On 16 Feb 2026, TARC Ltd closed at ₹152.50, down 6.36% from the previous close of ₹162.85. The intraday range saw a high of ₹163.00 and a low of ₹151.00, indicating significant selling pressure. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹206.10 but comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹103.45, suggesting a wide trading band over the past year.
Comparatively, TARC Ltd’s returns have been mixed over various time horizons. While the stock outperformed the Sensex over the past year with a 16.15% gain versus the benchmark’s 8.52%, recent shorter-term returns have been disappointing. The one-month return stands at -13.52%, significantly underperforming the Sensex’s -1.20%, and the year-to-date return is down 10.14% against the Sensex’s -3.04%. Over longer periods, the stock has delivered exceptional gains, with a three-year return of 279.83% compared to Sensex’s 36.73%, and a five-year return of 418.71% versus 60.30% for the benchmark.
Technical Trend Shift: From Sideways to Mildly Bearish
Recent technical analysis indicates a shift in TARC Ltd’s trend from sideways to mildly bearish. This change is corroborated by several key indicators. The daily moving averages are firmly bearish, signalling downward momentum in the short term. The stock’s current price is trading below its key moving averages, reinforcing the negative bias.
On the weekly timeframe, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains mildly bullish, suggesting some underlying positive momentum. However, the monthly MACD has turned mildly bearish, indicating that longer-term momentum is weakening. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlights a transitional phase where short-term optimism is tempered by longer-term caution.
RSI and Bollinger Bands: Mixed Signals
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral zones without indicating overbought or oversold conditions. This lack of directional RSI signal suggests that the stock is consolidating and may be poised for a decisive move once momentum clarifies.
Bollinger Bands provide a more bearish outlook. On the weekly chart, the bands are mildly bearish, with the price approaching the lower band, signalling increased volatility and potential downside risk. The monthly Bollinger Bands are outright bearish, reinforcing the longer-term negative momentum and hinting at sustained selling pressure.
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Additional Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator presents a nuanced picture. On the weekly scale, KST is bullish, suggesting short-term positive momentum that could provide some relief to the stock’s recent weakness. Conversely, the monthly KST is mildly bearish, aligning with other longer-term indicators that caution against sustained rallies.
Dow Theory assessments on both weekly and monthly charts are mildly bullish, indicating that despite recent setbacks, the broader trend may still hold some upside potential. This is a critical observation for investors looking for signs of trend reversals or confirmation of bearish phases.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) analysis reveals a divergence in sentiment. Weekly OBV is mildly bearish, reflecting selling pressure in recent trading sessions. However, monthly OBV remains bullish, signalling that accumulation might be occurring at higher timeframes, which could support a potential rebound if selling pressure eases.
MarketsMOJO Rating Upgrade to Strong Sell
Reflecting these mixed but predominantly cautious technical signals, MarketsMOJO has upgraded TARC Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Sell to Strong Sell as of 13 Jan 2026. The current Mojo Score stands at 23.0, underscoring the heightened risk profile. The Market Cap Grade remains low at 3, consistent with the company’s small-cap status within the Realty sector.
This rating upgrade signals that investors should exercise increased caution, as the technical landscape suggests potential for further downside or at best, a prolonged consolidation phase. The downgrade is particularly significant given the stock’s recent underperformance relative to the Sensex and sector peers.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Investors in TARC Ltd should weigh the mixed technical signals carefully. The short-term bearishness indicated by daily moving averages and monthly Bollinger Bands suggests caution, especially given the recent sharp price decline of over 6% in a single session. However, the mildly bullish weekly MACD and KST, along with the mildly bullish Dow Theory readings, hint at potential support levels that could stabilise the stock in the near term.
Long-term investors may find comfort in the stock’s impressive multi-year returns, with a 279.83% gain over three years and an extraordinary 418.71% over five years, far outpacing the Sensex. Nonetheless, the current technical environment and MarketsMOJO’s Strong Sell rating advise prudence, particularly for those with shorter investment horizons or lower risk tolerance.
Given the stock’s volatility and the divergence in technical indicators, a close watch on momentum shifts and volume patterns is recommended. Confirmation of a sustained trend reversal would require improvement in monthly MACD and Bollinger Bands, alongside a rise in RSI from neutral zones. Until then, the prevailing mildly bearish technical backdrop suggests that downside risks remain elevated.
Summary of Key Technical Metrics for TARC Ltd
- Current Price: ₹152.50 (down 6.36% on 16 Feb 2026)
- 52-Week Range: ₹103.45 – ₹206.10
- Moving Averages (Daily): Bearish
- MACD: Weekly Mildly Bullish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- RSI: No clear signal (Weekly & Monthly)
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly Mildly Bearish, Monthly Bearish
- KST: Weekly Bullish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- Dow Theory: Weekly & Monthly Mildly Bullish
- OBV: Weekly Mildly Bearish, Monthly Bullish
- MarketsMOJO Mojo Score: 23.0 (Strong Sell)
- Market Cap Grade: 3
In conclusion, TARC Ltd’s technical parameters reveal a stock at a crossroads, with short-term bearish momentum tempered by some longer-term bullish signals. The recent upgrade to a Strong Sell rating by MarketsMOJO reflects the increased risk and the need for investors to remain vigilant amid evolving market conditions.
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