Current Price Action and Market Context
As of 19 Feb 2026, TARC Ltd’s stock closed at ₹160.55, up from the previous close of ₹155.10. The intraday range saw a low of ₹155.50 and a high of ₹164.35, reflecting increased volatility. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹206.10 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹103.45, indicating a recovery phase after a significant correction.
Comparatively, TARC Ltd’s returns over various periods reveal a mixed performance against the Sensex benchmark. While the stock has underperformed in the short term—declining 2.01% over the past week and 4.69% over the last month against Sensex gains of -0.59% and +0.20% respectively—it has outpaced the benchmark substantially over longer horizons. The one-year return stands at an impressive 39.73% versus Sensex’s 10.22%, and over five years, TARC Ltd has surged 409.68%, dwarfing the Sensex’s 63.15% gain. This long-term outperformance underscores the company’s growth potential despite recent technical headwinds.
Technical Indicator Analysis: A Mixed Bag
The technical landscape for TARC Ltd is nuanced, with several indicators signalling divergent trends across different timeframes.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): On a weekly basis, the MACD is mildly bullish, suggesting some upward momentum building in the medium term. However, the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, indicating that longer-term momentum has yet to fully recover. This divergence points to a potential consolidation phase where short-term gains may be offset by longer-term caution.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Both weekly and monthly RSI readings currently show no clear signal, hovering in neutral zones. This lack of momentum extremes suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, reinforcing the sideways trend observed in price action.
Bollinger Bands: Weekly Bollinger Bands are bullish, with the stock price approaching the upper band, signalling potential upward pressure. Conversely, the monthly Bollinger Bands remain mildly bearish, reflecting broader volatility and uncertainty in the longer term.
Moving Averages: Daily moving averages are mildly bearish, indicating that recent price action has been below key short-term averages. This could act as resistance in the near term, requiring a sustained breakout above these averages to confirm a bullish reversal.
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Additional Technical Signals: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator presents a bullish signal on the weekly chart, reinforcing the possibility of short-term upward momentum. However, the monthly KST remains mildly bearish, consistent with other longer-term indicators suggesting caution.
Dow Theory analysis shows no clear trend on the weekly timeframe but indicates a mildly bullish stance monthly, hinting at a potential longer-term recovery if confirmed by price action.
On Balance Volume (OBV) readings are neutral weekly but bullish monthly, suggesting accumulation by investors over the longer term despite short-term volatility.
Mojo Score and Market Capitalisation Insights
TARC Ltd’s current Mojo Score stands at 29.0, categorised as a Strong Sell, a downgrade from the previous Sell rating on 13 Jan 2026. This reflects deteriorating technical and fundamental parameters as assessed by MarketsMOJO’s proprietary scoring system. The company’s market capitalisation grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier valuation relative to its peers in the Realty sector.
Investors should note that the downgrade to Strong Sell is driven by weakening momentum and mixed technical signals, despite the stock’s attractive long-term returns. This rating advises caution and suggests that the stock may face further downside or consolidation before any meaningful recovery.
Strategic Considerations for Investors
Given the current technical environment, investors should approach TARC Ltd with a balanced perspective. The mildly bullish weekly indicators offer some hope for short-term gains, but the monthly bearish signals and the Strong Sell Mojo Grade counsel prudence. A decisive break above daily moving averages and confirmation from monthly MACD and Bollinger Bands would be necessary to signal a sustained uptrend.
Meanwhile, the stock’s long-term outperformance relative to the Sensex highlights its potential as a growth asset, particularly for investors with a higher risk tolerance and a longer investment horizon. Monitoring volume trends and momentum indicators closely will be crucial to time entries and exits effectively.
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Conclusion: Navigating a Complex Technical Landscape
TARC Ltd’s recent technical parameter changes reflect a stock at a crossroads. The shift from mildly bearish to sideways momentum, combined with conflicting signals from key indicators, suggests a period of consolidation and uncertainty. While short-term weekly indicators hint at potential gains, monthly trends and the Strong Sell Mojo Grade urge caution.
Investors should weigh the stock’s impressive long-term returns against its current technical challenges and consider alternative Realty stocks with stronger momentum and fundamentals. Close monitoring of moving averages, MACD crossovers, and volume patterns will be essential to identify a clear directional shift.
In sum, TARC Ltd remains a stock with significant upside potential tempered by near-term technical risks, making it a candidate for selective exposure within a diversified portfolio.
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