Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 21 Jan 2026, TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd recorded its lowest-ever share price at Rs.97.2, continuing a losing streak that has spanned five consecutive trading sessions. Over this period, the stock has shed 10.64% in value. The decline today was -0.82%, slightly steeper than the Sensex’s fall of -0.36%, indicating a relative underperformance against the broader market.
Performance over longer time frames further highlights the stock’s challenges. The company’s share price has fallen by 7.91% in the past week and 8.30% over the last month, compared with the Sensex’s respective declines of 1.80% and 3.59%. The three-month return is particularly stark, with a 23.43% drop versus a modest 3.02% decline in the Sensex. Over the past year, the stock has lost 40.28%, while the Sensex has gained 7.97%. Year-to-date, the stock is down 12.90%, compared to the Sensex’s 3.92% fall.
Notably, the stock is trading below all key moving averages — 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day — underscoring the prevailing bearish momentum.
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Financial Performance and Valuation Metrics
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd’s financial indicators reveal a mixed picture. The company reported its highest annual operating cash flow at Rs.524.20 crores in the latest fiscal year, signalling strong cash generation capabilities. Additionally, the half-yearly return on capital employed (ROCE) reached a peak of 8.72%, while the debt-to-equity ratio stood at a relatively low 1.14 times, indicating a moderate leverage position.
Despite these positives, the company’s long-term fundamentals remain under pressure. Operating profits have declined at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.29% over the past five years, reflecting a contraction in core earnings. The average EBIT to interest coverage ratio is 0.84, suggesting limited capacity to comfortably service debt obligations. Return on equity (ROE) has averaged a modest 3.86%, pointing to low profitability relative to shareholders’ funds.
Valuation metrics show the stock trading at an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 1.7, which is attractive relative to peers’ historical averages. The company’s price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is 0.1, reflecting a disconnect between the stock price and the substantial 302% increase in profits over the past year. However, this profit growth has not translated into share price appreciation, as evidenced by the negative returns.
Shareholding and Market Sentiment
Promoter shareholding dynamics add to the stock’s downward pressure. Approximately 29.23% of promoter shares are pledged, a factor that can exacerbate price declines in falling markets due to potential forced selling or margin calls. This elevated pledge level is a notable consideration for market participants assessing the stock’s risk profile.
Over the medium to long term, TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd has underperformed key benchmarks. The stock has delivered zero returns over three, five, and ten-year horizons, while the Sensex has appreciated by 35.07%, 65.00%, and 241.71% respectively over the same periods. This underperformance extends to the BSE500 index as well, with the stock lagging over the last three months, one year, and three years.
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Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
The company’s Mojo Score currently stands at 29.0, categorising it as a Strong Sell. This represents a downgrade from its previous Sell rating, effective from 5 Jan 2026. The Market Cap Grade is rated at 3, indicating a relatively modest market capitalisation within its sector. These ratings reflect the cumulative assessment of the company’s financial health, market performance, and risk factors.
Sector-wise, TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd operates within the transport services industry, which has experienced mixed performance trends recently. The stock’s day change of -0.76% is in line with sector movements, but its longer-term returns have lagged significantly behind sector averages.
Summary of Key Performance Indicators
To encapsulate, the stock’s recent all-time low price of Rs.97.2 is the culmination of several factors:
- Five consecutive days of price declines, amounting to a 10.64% loss.
- Underperformance relative to the Sensex and BSE500 indices across multiple time frames.
- Weak long-term growth in operating profits at a negative CAGR of -1.29% over five years.
- Low profitability metrics, including an average ROE of 3.86% and an EBIT to interest coverage ratio below 1.
- High promoter share pledge of 29.23%, increasing potential selling pressure.
- Trading below all major moving averages, signalling sustained bearish momentum.
While the company has demonstrated some positive cash flow and capital efficiency metrics recently, these have not been sufficient to arrest the stock’s decline or improve its market standing.
Conclusion
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd’s fall to an all-time low price reflects a complex interplay of subdued financial performance, market valuation pressures, and shareholding structure. The stock’s extended period of negative returns and relative underperformance against benchmarks highlight the challenges faced by the company within the transport services sector. The current Mojo Grade of Strong Sell underscores the cautious stance adopted by market analysts based on the available data as of 21 Jan 2026.
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