Technical Momentum and Indicator Overview
Viceroy Hotels’ technical trend has moved from a mildly bullish stance to a more pronounced bullish posture. This shift is underpinned by a combination of weekly and monthly technical signals that provide a nuanced picture of the stock’s price momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a bullish signal on the weekly chart, indicating positive momentum in the short term. However, the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, suggesting some caution for longer-term investors.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, currently shows no definitive signal on both weekly and monthly timeframes. This neutrality implies that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for potential directional movement depending on market catalysts.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and price levels relative to historical norms, display bullish signals on both weekly and monthly charts. This suggests that Viceroy Hotels’ price is trending towards the upper band, often interpreted as a sign of strength and potential continuation of upward momentum.
Moving Averages and Volume Analysis
Daily moving averages for Viceroy Hotels are currently bullish, indicating that the stock’s short-term price is above its average levels, which can be a positive sign for momentum traders. The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change calculations, shows a bullish signal on the weekly chart but remains mildly bearish on the monthly chart, reinforcing the mixed signals between short-term optimism and longer-term caution.
Volume-based indicators such as On-Balance Volume (OBV) present a mildly bearish signal on the weekly timeframe but turn bullish on the monthly scale. This divergence suggests that while recent trading volumes may have been subdued, the overall longer-term volume trend supports accumulation, which can be a positive sign for sustained price movement.
Price Movement and Market Context
On 27 Nov 2025, Viceroy Hotels closed at ₹128.70, down from the previous close of ₹131.70, with a day’s trading range between ₹128.70 and ₹136.80. The stock’s 52-week high stands at ₹136.80, while the 52-week low is ₹93.05, indicating a significant range of price movement over the past year. Despite the recent day’s decline of 2.28%, the technical indicators suggest underlying bullish momentum in the short term.
When compared to the broader market, Viceroy Hotels’ returns present an interesting contrast. Over the past week, the stock recorded a return of 6.32%, substantially outperforming the Sensex’s 0.50% gain. However, over the one-month period, Viceroy Hotels’ return of 0.59% lagged behind the Sensex’s 1.66%. Year-to-date, the stock’s return of 5.06% trails the Sensex’s 9.56%, while over the one-year horizon, Viceroy Hotels slightly outpaced the Sensex with a 7.72% return versus 7.01%.
Longer-term performance figures reveal extraordinary gains for Viceroy Hotels, with a three-year return of 6512.23% compared to the Sensex’s 37.43%, and a five-year return of 5579.05% against the Sensex’s 93.43%. Over a decade, the stock’s return of 726.04% remains below the Sensex’s 229.79%, reflecting the stock’s unique growth trajectory and volatility within the Hotels & Resorts sector.
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Sector and Industry Positioning
Operating within the Hotels & Resorts industry, Viceroy Hotels faces sector-specific challenges and opportunities that influence its technical outlook. The sector often experiences cyclical demand patterns influenced by economic conditions, travel trends, and consumer sentiment. The recent bullish technical signals on weekly charts may reflect improving market confidence or seasonal factors supporting hospitality demand.
However, the mixed signals on monthly indicators such as MACD and KST suggest that investors should remain attentive to broader economic developments and sector fundamentals that could impact the stock’s medium to long-term trajectory.
Implications for Investors and Market Participants
The current technical landscape for Viceroy Hotels indicates a complex interplay between short-term bullish momentum and longer-term caution. The bullish daily moving averages and weekly MACD support the view that the stock may be positioned for near-term price appreciation. Meanwhile, the absence of clear RSI signals and the mildly bearish monthly MACD and KST highlight the importance of monitoring for potential reversals or consolidation phases.
Volume trends, as indicated by OBV, suggest that while recent trading activity may have been subdued, the broader accumulation pattern remains intact. This could provide a foundation for sustained price movement if accompanied by positive sector developments or company-specific news.
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Summary and Outlook
Viceroy Hotels’ recent technical parameter changes reflect a shift in market assessment, with short-term momentum indicators signalling bullish tendencies while longer-term metrics remain mixed. The stock’s price action, supported by daily moving averages and weekly MACD, suggests potential for continued upward movement in the near term. However, the absence of strong RSI signals and the mildly bearish monthly indicators counsel prudence for investors considering longer holding periods.
Comparative returns against the Sensex reveal that Viceroy Hotels has delivered exceptional gains over multi-year horizons, albeit with volatility that may not suit all investor profiles. The stock’s position within the Hotels & Resorts sector means it remains sensitive to broader economic cycles and travel industry trends, factors that should be closely monitored alongside technical developments.
In conclusion, the evolving technical landscape for Viceroy Hotels offers a nuanced picture of price momentum, blending encouraging short-term signals with cautionary longer-term indicators. Market participants are advised to integrate these technical insights with fundamental analysis and sector outlooks to form a comprehensive view of the stock’s potential trajectory.
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