Why is TCPL Packaging falling/rising?

As of 15-Sep, TCPL Packaging Ltd. is currently priced at 3,380.20, reflecting an increase of 13.5, or 0.4%. The stock has shown a trend reversal by gaining after three consecutive days of decline. However, it is trading below its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. Additionally, there has been a significant drop in investor participation, with delivery volume falling by 59.54% against the 5-day average. Despite these challenges, the company has demonstrated high management efficiency with a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 16.44% and healthy long-term growth, as operating profit has increased at an annual rate of 25.06%. The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers, and over the past year, it has generated a return of 1.95% while profits have risen by 23.7%.
In the broader market context, TCPL Packaging's short-term performance has been underwhelming, with a 1-week return of -1.31%, while the benchmark Sensex has gained 1.24% in the same period. Although the stock has outperformed the BSE500 over the last three years, the recent negative results declared in June 2025, including a 37.6% decline in profit after tax compared to the previous four-quarter average, have raised concerns among investors. The company's low debtors turnover ratio and operating profit to interest ratio further exacerbate these concerns, contributing to the stock's recent volatility despite its historical performance and potential for growth.