Current Price and Market Context
As of 6 Jan 2026, Dodla Dairy Ltd closed at ₹1,232.20, up from the previous close of ₹1,220.50. The stock’s intraday range was between ₹1,210.30 and ₹1,232.20, indicating a relatively narrow trading band. The 52-week high stands at ₹1,522.85, while the 52-week low is ₹962.05, placing the current price closer to the upper half of its annual range. This positioning suggests some resilience despite recent technical caution.
Technical Trend and Momentum Analysis
The technical trend for Dodla Dairy has shifted from bearish to mildly bearish, signalling a potential easing of downward pressure but not yet a definitive reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bearish on the weekly chart and mildly bearish on the monthly chart, reflecting persistent but weakening negative momentum. The MACD histogram on the weekly timeframe continues to show negative bars, albeit with a slight contraction, hinting at a possible momentum slowdown.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers no clear signal on both weekly and monthly charts, hovering in a neutral zone that neither indicates overbought nor oversold conditions. This lack of directional RSI signal suggests the stock is consolidating, with neither bulls nor bears dominating decisively.
Bollinger Bands present a nuanced picture: mildly bearish on the weekly timeframe but mildly bullish on the monthly. The weekly bands show the price near the lower band, indicating short-term pressure, while the monthly bands suggest a longer-term stabilisation or potential upward bias. This divergence between timeframes underscores the mixed technical environment.
Moving Averages and Other Indicators
Daily moving averages remain bearish, with the stock trading below its short-term and medium-term averages. This alignment typically signals continued downward pressure in the near term. The Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator confirms this bearishness on the weekly chart and mildly bearish stance on the monthly, reinforcing the cautious outlook.
Interestingly, Dow Theory analysis shows a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart, indicating some underlying strength in the broader trend, though the monthly chart shows no clear trend. On-Balance Volume (OBV) remains neutral on both weekly and monthly timeframes, suggesting volume is not confirming any strong directional move currently.
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Performance Relative to Sensex and Historical Returns
Dodla Dairy’s recent returns show a mixed picture when compared to the benchmark Sensex. Over the past week, the stock gained 0.46%, lagging behind the Sensex’s 0.88% rise. However, over the last month, Dodla Dairy outperformed with a 0.71% gain compared to the Sensex’s decline of 0.32%. Year-to-date, the stock has declined by 1.47%, underperforming the Sensex’s modest 0.26% gain. Over the last year, Dodla Dairy’s return was slightly negative at -0.31%, while the Sensex delivered a robust 7.85% gain.
Longer-term returns paint a more favourable picture for Dodla Dairy, with a three-year cumulative return of 144.22%, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 41.57% over the same period. This strong multi-year performance highlights the company’s growth potential despite recent technical caution. Five- and ten-year returns for Dodla Dairy are not available, but the Sensex’s 76.39% and 234.01% gains respectively provide a benchmark for comparison.
Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
MarketsMOJO assigns Dodla Dairy a Mojo Score of 47.0, reflecting a cautious stance. The Mojo Grade has recently been downgraded from Hold to Sell as of 9 Dec 2025, signalling a deterioration in the stock’s overall quality and outlook. The Market Cap Grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier capitalisation relative to peers in the FMCG sector. This downgrade aligns with the technical indicators suggesting a mildly bearish momentum and the need for investors to exercise prudence.
Sector and Industry Context
Operating within the FMCG sector, Dodla Dairy faces competitive pressures and evolving consumer trends that impact its stock performance. The sector itself has shown resilience, but individual stock momentum varies widely. Dodla’s technical signals suggest it is currently navigating a consolidation phase, with neither strong bullish nor bearish conviction dominating. Investors should monitor sector trends alongside company-specific developments to gauge future direction.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Dodla Dairy Ltd’s technical parameters indicate a stock in transition. The shift from bearish to mildly bearish momentum suggests that while the downtrend may be moderating, a clear bullish reversal has yet to materialise. The mixed signals from MACD, Bollinger Bands, and Dow Theory highlight the importance of monitoring multiple timeframes and indicators before making investment decisions.
Investors should be cautious given the daily moving averages’ bearish stance and the absence of strong volume confirmation from OBV. The neutral RSI readings imply a consolidation phase, which could precede either a breakout or further correction depending on broader market conditions and company fundamentals.
Given the recent downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO and the modest short-term returns relative to the Sensex, a conservative approach is advisable. Long-term investors may find value in Dodla Dairy’s strong three-year performance but should remain vigilant for signs of sustained momentum improvement before increasing exposure.
In summary, Dodla Dairy Ltd currently exhibits a cautious technical profile with mixed momentum signals. The stock’s near-term trajectory will likely depend on how it navigates resistance levels around ₹1,250 and whether it can sustain gains above key moving averages. Monitoring updates on technical indicators and sector dynamics will be crucial for informed investment decisions.
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