Record-Breaking Price Movement
On 31 Dec 2025, HPCL’s stock price touched an intraday high of ₹493.50, marking a 5.37% increase for the day and closing just 0.33% shy of its 52-week high of ₹494.55. The stock outperformed its sector peers by 3.19% and the broader Sensex index by a substantial margin, with a day change of 5.33% compared to Sensex’s 0.48%. This price action underscores strong buying momentum and investor confidence in the company’s fundamentals.
Consistent Outperformance Over Time
HPCL’s performance over various time horizons has been notably superior to the benchmark Sensex. Over the past week, the stock gained 4.86% while the Sensex declined by 0.38%. The one-month return stands at 9.22% versus a Sensex drop of 0.65%, and the three-month gain is 13.57% compared to the Sensex’s 5.06%. Over the last year, HPCL delivered a robust 20.61% return, more than double the Sensex’s 8.88% rise. The company’s long-term track record is even more impressive, with a three-year return of 217.99% and a five-year return of 243.01%, significantly outpacing the Sensex’s respective 39.84% and 78.18% gains. Over a decade, HPCL’s stock has appreciated by 302.35%, surpassing the Sensex’s 225.76% growth.
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Strong Financial Fundamentals Driving Growth
HPCL’s financial performance has been a key driver behind its stock appreciation. The company has demonstrated healthy long-term growth with net sales increasing at an annual rate of 13.76% and operating profit expanding at 26.26%. The last three consecutive quarters have shown positive results, reinforcing the company’s operational strength.
Profit before tax excluding other income (PBT LESS OI) for the latest quarter stood at ₹4,608.59 crore, reflecting a growth of 57.9% compared to the previous four-quarter average. Similarly, profit after tax (PAT) for the quarter was ₹3,859.30 crore, up 51.2% versus the prior four-quarter average. These figures highlight significant earnings momentum and improved profitability.
Valuation and Return Metrics
HPCL’s return on capital employed (ROCE) is a healthy 17.1%, indicating efficient utilisation of capital. The company’s valuation remains attractive, with an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 1.4, suggesting it is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical averages. Despite the strong price appreciation, the stock maintains a high dividend yield of 3.31%, offering income alongside capital gains.
Institutional Confidence and Market Standing
Institutional investors hold a significant 36.73% stake in HPCL, reflecting confidence from entities with extensive analytical resources. The company is ranked among the top 1% of all 4,000 stocks rated by MarketsMojo, with a Mojo Score of 81.0 and a Mojo Grade upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy as of 30 Dec 2025. It holds a market cap grade of 2 and is positioned seventh among mid-cap stocks and seventeenth across the entire market, underscoring its prominence and quality within the investment universe.
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Technical Strength and Moving Averages
HPCL’s stock is trading above all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This technical positioning confirms the stock’s upward momentum and sustained buying interest. The oil exploration and refinery sector, to which HPCL belongs, has also gained 2.15%, further supporting the stock’s positive trajectory.
Summary of Performance and Market Impact
HPCL’s stock has delivered consistent returns over the last three years, outperforming the BSE500 index in each annual period. The company’s ability to generate a 20.61% return in the last year, alongside a 231.8% increase in profits, highlights its robust earnings growth and market resilience. The PEG ratio stands at zero, indicating that the stock’s price growth is well supported by earnings expansion.
With a high dividend yield, strong institutional backing, and a solid fundamental and technical profile, HPCL’s all-time high marks a significant achievement in its market journey. The stock’s performance reflects a combination of strategic growth, operational efficiency, and favourable market conditions within the oil sector.
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