Stock Performance Overview
The stock has been on a downward trajectory, falling for two consecutive days with a cumulative return of -3.66% over this period. Despite a marginal positive change of 0.27% today, Sula Vineyards remains below all major moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, underscoring persistent bearish momentum.
Comparatively, the Sensex declined by -0.42% today, while the stock’s one-week performance stands at -5.77%, contrasting with the Sensex’s 0.84% gain. Over one month, the stock has dropped -15.88%, significantly underperforming the Sensex’s -2.90%. The three-month decline is even more pronounced at -27.39%, against the Sensex’s -2.59%.
Longer-term figures reveal a stark contrast: Sula Vineyards has delivered a -47.68% return over the past year, while the Sensex appreciated by 7.11%. Year-to-date, the stock is down -15.82%, compared to the Sensex’s -3.52%. Over three years, the stock has lost -51.60%, whereas the Sensex gained 38.18%. Notably, the stock’s five- and ten-year returns have remained flat at 0.00%, while the Sensex surged 77.63% and 230.58%, respectively.
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Financial Metrics and Profitability Trends
Sula Vineyards’ financial performance has deteriorated notably in recent quarters. The company reported a sharp fall in profit before tax (PBT) by -53.68% in the September 2025 quarter, categorised as very negative results. Quarterly PBT excluding other income stood at ₹7.44 crore, down -56.1% compared to the previous four-quarter average. Similarly, profit after tax (PAT) for the quarter was ₹6.02 crore, a decline of -58.1% relative to the prior four-quarter average.
Operating cash flow for the year was recorded at ₹64.03 crore, marking the lowest level in recent periods. Over the last five years, operating profit has contracted at an annual rate of -10.18%, indicating sustained pressure on core earnings.
Institutional Investor Participation
Institutional investors have reduced their holdings by -2.63% over the previous quarter, now collectively owning 19.43% of the company’s shares. This decline in institutional participation may reflect a reassessment of the company’s fundamentals by investors with greater analytical resources.
Valuation and Return on Capital Employed
Despite the subdued performance, Sula Vineyards maintains a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 9.4%, which is considered very attractive. The enterprise value to capital employed ratio stands at 2, suggesting the stock is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical valuations. However, this valuation advantage has not translated into positive returns, as profits have fallen by -42.7% over the past year alongside the stock’s -47.68% decline.
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Mojo Score and Market Capitalisation Assessment
The company’s Mojo Score currently stands at 29.0, with a Mojo Grade of Strong Sell as of 12 January 2026, an upgrade from the previous Sell rating. The market capitalisation grade is rated at 3, reflecting a relatively modest market cap within its sector. These ratings underscore the cautious stance adopted by the rating agency based on the company’s recent financial and market performance.
Sector and Market Context
Sula Vineyards operates within the beverages industry, a sector that has seen varied performance across its constituents. While the broader market indices such as the Sensex have shown resilience and growth over the medium to long term, Sula Vineyards’ stock has consistently underperformed, both in absolute terms and relative to sector peers. This divergence highlights the company’s specific challenges amid a generally more favourable market environment.
Summary of Key Performance Indicators
To summarise, the stock’s recent all-time low of ₹180.15 is accompanied by:
- Negative returns of -47.68% over one year and -51.60% over three years
- Operating profit decline at an annualised rate of -10.18% over five years
- Quarterly PBT and PAT declines exceeding -50% compared to prior averages
- Reduced institutional investor stake by -2.63% in the last quarter
- Trading below all key moving averages, signalling sustained downward momentum
These factors collectively illustrate the severity of the current situation faced by Sula Vineyards Ltd in the stock market.
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