Why is AGI Greenpac Ltd ?
1
High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 15.59%
2
Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.75 times
3
Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 10.24% over the last 5 years
4
Flat results in Mar 26
- NON-OPERATING INCOME(Q) is 34.92 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT)
5
With ROCE of 15.9, it has a Attractive valuation with a 1.7 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
- The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -19.49%, its profits have risen by 9.2% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 1.3
6
Falling Participation by Institutional Investors
- Institutional investors have decreased their stake by -0.67% over the previous quarter and collectively hold 8.84% of the company
- These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors
7
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (BSE500) has generated returns of 5.38% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -19.49% returns
How much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to AGI Greenpac should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Packaging should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Packaging)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is AGI Greenpac for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
AGI Greenpac
-19.49%
-0.45
43.70%
Sensex
-3.74%
-0.28
13.48%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
10.24%
EBIT Growth (5y)
22.27%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
5.59
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
2.06
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.20
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.93
Tax Ratio
24.19%
Dividend Payout Ratio
14.05%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
8.84%
ROCE (avg)
13.73%
ROE (avg)
15.01%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
11
Industry P/E
18
Price to Book Value
1.84
EV to EBIT
10.65
EV to EBITDA
7.59
EV to Capital Employed
1.70
EV to Sales
1.70
PEG Ratio
1.25
Dividend Yield
1.11%
ROCE (Latest)
15.94%
ROE (Latest)
15.89%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bearish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
Dow Theory
No Trend
No Trend
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
Technical Movement
7What is working for the Company
OPERATING PROFIT TO INTEREST(Q)
Highest at 16.20 times
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at Rs 742.39 cr
PBT LESS OI(Q)
Highest at Rs 99.31 cr.
PAT(Q)
Highest at Rs 115.38 cr.
EPS(Q)
Highest at Rs 17.83
-2What is not working for the Company
NON-OPERATING INCOME(Q)
is 34.92 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for AGI Greenpac
Operating Profit to Interest - Quarterly
Highest at 16.20 times and Grown
each quarter in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is improving
Operating Profit to Interest
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 742.39 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 99.31 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 115.38 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is positive
PAT (Rs Cr)
Earnings per Share (EPS) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 17.83
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders
EPS (Rs)
Here's what is not working for AGI Greenpac
Non Operating Income - Quarterly
is 34.92 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT)
MOJO Watch
The company's income from non business activities is high; which is not a sustainable business model
Non Operating Income to PBT
Non Operating Income - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 53.29 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Increased income from non business activities may not be sustainable
Non Operating Income






