Why is Alfa SAB de CV ?
1
High Debt company with Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength
- Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of -8.75% and Operating profit at -3.88% over the last 5 years
- High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 19.51% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
2
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 22.72%, its profits have risen by 257% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.2
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Specialty Chemicals)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Alfa SAB de CV for you?
Medium Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Alfa SAB de CV
21.31%
48.19
35.30%
Mexico IPC
25.36%
1.61
16.27%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-8.75%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-3.88%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
2.84
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
2.86
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
6.20
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.01
Tax Ratio
86.51%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.02%
ROCE (avg)
19.51%
ROE (avg)
10.72%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
36
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
5.68
EV to EBIT
10.06
EV to EBITDA
7.30
EV to Capital Employed
2.10
EV to Sales
0.73
PEG Ratio
0.15
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
20.90%
ROE (Latest)
15.86%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bullish
Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bullish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
17What is working for the Company
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)
Highest at 319.16
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at MXN 44,880.8 MM
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Highest at MXN 4,793.75 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Highest at MXN 2,983.23 MM
-6What is not working for the Company
NET PROFIT(9M)
At MXN -1,649.99 MM has Grown at -947.29%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 10.03% (YoY
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at MXN 20,784.71 MM
Here's what is working for Alfa SAB de CV
Pre-Tax Profit
At MXN 4,793.75 MM has Grown at 457.91%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of MXN 859.23 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive
Pre-Tax Profit (MXN MM)
Net Profit
At MXN 2,983.23 MM has Grown at 339.35%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of MXN -1,246.41 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive
Net Profit (MXN MM)
Interest Coverage Ratio
Highest at 319.16
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is improving
Operating Profit to Interest
Net Sales
Highest at MXN 44,880.8 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (MXN MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Highest at MXN 4,793.75 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive
Pre-Tax Profit (MXN MM)
Net Profit
Highest at MXN 2,983.23 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (MXN MM)
Here's what is not working for Alfa SAB de CV
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at MXN 20,784.71 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 10.03% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






