Why is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA ?
1
With a Negative Book Value, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength
- Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 34.40% of over the last 5 years
- High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 7.84% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
- NET PROFIT(Q) At USD 7.33 MM has Grown at 160.94%
- INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 10.56 times
- PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) At USD 22 MM has Grown at 151.43%
2
Risky - Negative Book Value
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 4.58%, its profits have risen by 24.9% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 8.4
How much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Ardagh Metal Packaging SA should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Packaging should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Packaging)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
12.36%
-0.02
50.42%
S&P 500
12.66%
0.65
20.20%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
51.58%
EBIT Growth (5y)
34.40%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.58
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.60
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-16.41
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.26
Tax Ratio
81.82%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
25.71%
ROCE (avg)
7.84%
ROE (avg)
40.23%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
209
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
-10.24
EV to EBIT
25.33
EV to EBITDA
8.84
EV to Capital Employed
1.73
EV to Sales
1.22
PEG Ratio
8.42
Dividend Yield
0.01%
ROCE (Latest)
6.83%
ROE (Latest)
Negative BV
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
13What is working for the Company
NET PROFIT(Q)
At USD 7.33 MM has Grown at 160.94%
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 10.56 times
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
At USD 22 MM has Grown at 151.43%
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at USD 1,455 MM
OPERATING PROFIT(Q)
Highest at USD 200 MM
-1What is not working for the Company
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 6.67% (YoY
Here's what is working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Net Profit
At USD 7.33 MM has Grown at 160.94%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 2.81 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive
Net Profit (USD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 22 MM has Grown at 151.43%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 8.75 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Highest at 10.56 times and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its inventory faster
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Net Sales
Highest at USD 1,455 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (USD MM)
Operating Profit
Highest at USD 200 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (USD MM)
Here's what is not working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 6.67% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






