Why is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA ?
1
With a Negative Book Value, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength
- Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 34.40% of over the last 5 years
- High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 7.84% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
- NET PROFIT(Q) At USD 7.33 MM has Grown at 160.94%
- INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 10.56 times
- PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) At USD 22 MM has Grown at 151.43%
2
Risky - Negative Book Value
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 27.59%, its profits have risen by 24.9% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 8.4
3
Market Beating Performance
- The stock has generated a return of 27.59% in the last 1 year, much higher than market (S&P 500) returns of 14.11%
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Packaging)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
4.92%
0.08
49.85%
S&P 500
20.78%
0.70
20.15%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
15.25%
EBIT Growth (5y)
1.62%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.58
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.60
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-16.41
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.31
Tax Ratio
81.82%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
27.48%
ROCE (avg)
7.84%
ROE (avg)
40.23%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
69
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
-3.45
EV to EBIT
23.50
EV to EBITDA
8.58
EV to Capital Employed
1.95
EV to Sales
1.14
PEG Ratio
0.19
Dividend Yield
0.01%
ROCE (Latest)
8.28%
ROE (Latest)
Negative BV
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
Technical Movement
9What is working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)
At USD -5 MM has Grown at 66.67%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -1.55% (YoY
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at USD 1,504 MM
-11What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD 413 MM
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
At USD 0 MM has Fallen at -100%
NET PROFIT(Q)
At USD -1 MM has Fallen at -111.74%
INTEREST(Q)
Highest at USD 55 MM
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)
Lowest at 11.9 %
Here's what is working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Net Sales
Highest at USD 1,504 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (USD MM)
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -1.55% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 0 MM has Fallen at -100%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 8 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
At USD -1 MM has Fallen at -111.74%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 8.52 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative
Net Profit (USD MM)
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 413 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Interest
Highest at USD 55 MM
in the last five periods and Increased by 5.77% (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (USD MM)
Operating Profit Margin
Lowest at 11.9 %
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has deteriorated
Operating Profit to Sales






