Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

  • Market Cap: Small Cap
  • Industry: Packaging
  • ISIN: LU2369833749
USD
4.48
-0.1 (-2.18%)
  • Price Points
  • Score
  • Mojo Parameters
  • Total Return
  • News and Corporate Actions
  • Key factors
  • Shareholding
  • Financials
  • CompanyCV
stock-recommendationScore
Click here to find our call on this stock
Strong Sell
Sell
Hold
Buy
Strong Buy

Comparison

Company
Score
Quality
Valuation
Financial
Technical
Sealed Air Corp.
International Paper Co.
Sonoco Products Co.
AptarGroup, Inc.
Silgan Holdings, Inc.
Crown Holdings, Inc.
O-I Glass, Inc.
WestRock Co.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Owens Corning
Graphic Packaging Holding Co.

Why is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA ?

1
With a Negative Book Value, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength
  • Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 34.40% of over the last 5 years
  • High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times
  • The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 7.84% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
  • NET PROFIT(Q) At USD 7.33 MM has Grown at 160.94%
  • INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 10.56 times
  • PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) At USD 22 MM has Grown at 151.43%
2
Risky - Negative Book Value
  • The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
  • Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 27.59%, its profits have risen by 24.9% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 8.4
3
Market Beating Performance
  • The stock has generated a return of 27.59% in the last 1 year, much higher than market (S&P 500) returns of 14.11%
stock-recommendationReal-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

  1. All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Packaging)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
4.92%
0.08
49.85%
S&P 500
20.78%
0.70
20.15%
stock-recommendationQuality
stock-summaryManagement Risk
stock-summaryGrowth
stock-summaryCapital Structure
stock-recommendation
Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
15.25%
EBIT Growth (5y)
1.62%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.58
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.60
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-16.41
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.31
Tax Ratio
81.82%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
27.48%
ROCE (avg)
7.84%
ROE (avg)
40.23%
stock-recommendationValuation

Valuation Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors stock-summary

Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
69
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
-3.45
EV to EBIT
23.50
EV to EBITDA
8.58
EV to Capital Employed
1.95
EV to Sales
1.14
PEG Ratio
0.19
Dividend Yield
0.01%
ROCE (Latest)
8.28%
ROE (Latest)
Negative BV
stock-recommendationTechnicals

Technical key factors

Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
stock-recommendation Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish  Turned 
Technical Movement
stock-recommendationFinancial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

9What is working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)

At USD -5 MM has Grown at 66.67%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -1.55% (YoY

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at USD 1,504 MM

-11What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD 413 MM

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD 0 MM has Fallen at -100%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD -1 MM has Fallen at -111.74%

INTEREST(Q)

Highest at USD 55 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 11.9 %

Here's what is working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

Net Sales
Highest at USD 1,504 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -1.55% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 0 MM has Fallen at -100%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 8 MM
MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit
At USD -1 MM has Fallen at -111.74%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 8.52 MM
MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 413 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three years
MOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Interest
Highest at USD 55 MM
in the last five periods and Increased by 5.77% (QoQ)
MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin
Lowest at 11.9 %
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales