Attock Refinery Ltd. (ATRL) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Pakistan State Oil Co. Ltd.

Attock Petroleum Ltd.

Pakistan Refinery Ltd.

Attock Refinery Ltd.

Hi-Tech Lubricants Ltd.

National Refinery Ltd.

Hascol Petroleum Ltd.

Why is Attock Refinery Ltd. ?

With a fall in Net Profit of NAN%, the company declared Very Negative results in Mar 25

The company has declared negative results for the last 6 consecutive quarters
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at PKR 13,673.78 MM
INTEREST(9M) At PKR 59.82 MM has Grown at 50.06%
ROCE(HY) Lowest at 4.84%

With ROE of 4.7, it has a expensive valuation with a 0.5 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 0%, its profits have fallen by -73.3%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Attock Refinery Ltd. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Attock Refinery Ltd. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Attock Refinery Ltd.

80.52%

1.88

49.93%

Pakistan KSE 100 Share

26.26%

2.81

22.77%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

22.71%

EBIT Growth (5y)

29.00%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

100.00

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

-0.51

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

2.31

Tax Ratio

37.30%

Dividend Payout Ratio

15.66%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

35.68%

ROE (avg)

14.14%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.48

EV to EBIT

-1.94

EV to EBITDA

-1.39

EV to Capital Employed

-0.23

EV to Sales

-0.05

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

0.74%

ROCE (Latest)

Negative Capital Employed

ROE (Latest)

4.43%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bullish

Bullish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Mildly Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

Bullish

OBV

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

2What is working for the Company

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Highest at PKR 175,220.65 MM

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Lowest at -55.57 %

-23What is not working for the Company

NET PROFIT(9M)

At PKR 1,579.24 MM has Grown at -83.7%

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at PKR 7,102.52 MM

INTEREST(HY)

At PKR 36.23 MM has Grown at 85.11%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 3.6%

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at PKR 59,365.2 MM

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 54.17% (YoY

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 8.58 times

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at PKR 2,368.49 MM

Here's what is working for Attock Refinery Ltd.

Cash and Eqv

Highest at PKR 175,220.65 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is improving

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Debt-Equity Ratio

Lowest at -55.57 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital

Debt-Equity Ratio

Here's what is not working for Attock Refinery Ltd.

Net Profit

At PKR 1,579.24 MM has Grown at -83.7%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (PKR MM)

Net Sales

Lowest at PKR 59,365.2 MM and Fallen

In each period in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is very negative

Net Sales (PKR MM)

Net Sales

At PKR 59,365.2 MM has Fallen at -21.25%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of PKR 75,379.99 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is very negative

Net Sales (PKR MM)

Interest

At PKR 36.23 MM has Grown at 85.11%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (PKR MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at PKR 7,102.52 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (PKR MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at PKR 2,368.49 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (PKR MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

At PKR 2,368.49 MM has Fallen at -47.35%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of PKR 4,498.47 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (PKR MM)

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 8.58 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 54.17% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales