Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd. (BAFS) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

National Foods Ltd. (Pakistan)

Bunny's Ltd.

JDW Sugar Mills Ltd.

Rafhan Maize Products Co. Ltd.

Clover Pakistan Ltd.

Ismail Industries Ltd.

Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd.

Shakarganj Ltd.

Why is Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd. ?

With a Negative Book Value, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength

Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 29.91% of over the last 5 years
Company's ability to service its debt is weak with a poor EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 0.35

Risky - Negative Book Value

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 0%, its profits have fallen by -606.4%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in FMCG)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd. for you?

Low Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd.

3.04%

0.11

26.94%

Pakistan KSE 100 Share

26.26%

2.81

22.77%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

31.53%

EBIT Growth (5y)

95.99%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

0.35

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

13.98

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

-13.33

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

2.96

Tax Ratio

0.94%

Dividend Payout Ratio

2.32%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

4.42%

ROE (avg)

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

23.71

EV to EBIT

3.91

EV to EBITDA

3.47

EV to Capital Employed

2.53

EV to Sales

0.33

PEG Ratio

0.03

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

64.58%

ROE (Latest)

345.48%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

RSI

Bullish

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

Dow Theory

Bearish

No Trend

OBV

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

12What is working for the Company

NET PROFIT(HY)

At PKR 217.77 MM has Grown at 221.47%

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at PKR 1,353.89 MM

ROCE(HY)

Highest at 80.7%

-19What is not working for the Company

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 245.68% (YoY

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at PKR 238.35 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at PKR -66.22 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at -27.78 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at PKR -90.23 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at PKR -93.56 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at PKR -9.9

Here's what is working for Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at PKR 1,353.89 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (PKR MM)

Depreciation

Highest at PKR 41.97 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (PKR MM)

Depreciation

At PKR 41.97 MM has Grown at 52.71%

period on period (QoQ)

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company has gone into productive use which should positively reflect in the future sales

Depreciation (PKR MM)

Here's what is not working for Baba Farid Sugar Mills Ltd.

Net Sales

At PKR 238.35 MM has Fallen at -83.91%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is extremely negative

Net Sales (PKR MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

At PKR -90.23 MM has Fallen at -405.45%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (PKR MM)

Net Profit

At PKR -93.56 MM has Fallen at -853.8%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (PKR MM)

Net Sales

Lowest at PKR 238.35 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (PKR MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at PKR -66.22 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (PKR MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at -27.78 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at PKR -90.23 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (PKR MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at PKR -93.56 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (PKR MM)

EPS

Lowest at PKR -9.9

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (PKR)

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 245.68% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales