Billerud AB (BILL) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Holmen AB

Bong AB

Embellence Group AB

Rottneros AB

Nordic Paper Holding AB

Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA

Billerud AB

Why is Billerud AB ?

With a fall in Net Sales of -4.06%, the company declared Very Negative results in Mar 26

The company has declared negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
The company has declared negative results in Jun 25 after 3 consecutive negative quarters
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at SEK 2,878 MM
ROCE(HY) Lowest at 0.27%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 189.66% (YoY)

With ROE of 3.93%, it has a expensive valuation with a 0.66 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -33.51%, its profits have fallen by -36.6%

Below par performance in long term as well as near term

Along with generating -33.51% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed OMX Stockholm 30 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Billerud AB for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Billerud AB

-33.51%

-1.04

36.93%

OMX Stockholm 30

28.68%

1.89

15.95%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

11.27%

EBIT Growth (5y)

31.45%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

10.60

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

1.45

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.18

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

1.19

Tax Ratio

23.02%

Dividend Payout Ratio

69.96%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

0.02%

ROCE (avg)

6.41%

ROE (avg)

7.02%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.66

EV to EBIT

23.25

EV to EBITDA

6.17

EV to Capital Employed

0.72

EV to Sales

0.59

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

4.53%

ROCE (Latest)

3.09%

ROE (Latest)

3.93%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bullish

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

0What is working for the Company

NO KEY POSITIVE TRIGGERS

-26What is not working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at SEK 2,878 MM

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 0.27%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 189.66% (YoY

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at SEK 3,171 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at SEK 349 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 3.59 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at SEK -331 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at SEK -326 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at SEK -0.88

Here's what is not working for Billerud AB

Pre-Tax Profit

At SEK -331 MM has Fallen at -240.25%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of SEK 236 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (SEK MM)

Net Profit

At SEK -326 MM has Fallen at -219.5%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of SEK 272.8 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (SEK MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at SEK 2,878 MM and Fallen

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (SEK MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at SEK 349 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (SEK MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at 3.59 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at SEK -331 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (SEK MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at SEK -326 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (SEK MM)

EPS

Lowest at SEK -0.88

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (SEK)

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at SEK 3,171 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 189.66% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales