China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. (1117) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

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Hua Lien International (Holding) Co. Ltd.

Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd.

China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

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Ritamix Global Ltd.

Asian Citrus Holdings Ltd.

Why is China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. ?

High Debt company with Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength

Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate -184.50% of over the last 5 years
High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times

Flat results in Jun 25

INTEREST(HY) At HKD 314.11 MM has Grown at 18.59%
ROCE(HY) Lowest at -21.76%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 180.17 %

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 37.04%, its profits have fallen by -157.9%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Other Agricultural Products)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

37.04%

2.23

43.64%

Hang Seng Hong Kong

8.25%

0.41

19.93%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

16.82%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-184.50%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

0.11

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

2.17

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

1.22

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.49

Tax Ratio

0.32%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

2.91%

ROE (avg)

4.66%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.11

EV to EBIT

-10.59

EV to EBITDA

-16.63

EV to Capital Employed

1.04

EV to Sales

1.79

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-9.84%

ROE (Latest)

-29.99%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

OBV

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

7What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at HKD 5,624.07 MM

NET PROFIT(HY)

Higher at HKD 983.9 MM

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -15.8% (YoY

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Highest at HKD 4,281.5 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Highest at 22.27 %

-7What is not working for the Company

INTEREST(HY)

At HKD 314.11 MM has Grown at 18.59%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -21.76%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 180.17 %

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at HKD 6,512.46 MM

Here's what is working for China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

Net Profit

Higher at HKD 983.9 MM

than preceding 12 month period ended Jun 2025

MOJO Watch

In the half year the company has already crossed Net Profit of the previous twelve months

Net Profit (HKD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at HKD 5,624.07 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (HKD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Highest at 22.27 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has improved

Operating Profit to Sales

Cash and Eqv

Highest at HKD 4,281.5 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is improving

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -15.8% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Depreciation

Highest at HKD 331.21 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (HKD MM)

Depreciation

At HKD 331.21 MM has Grown at 9.83%

period on period (QoQ)

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company has gone into productive use which should positively reflect in the future sales

Depreciation (HKD MM)

Here's what is not working for China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

Interest

At HKD 314.11 MM has Grown at 18.59%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (HKD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 180.17 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Net Sales

Lowest at HKD 6,512.46 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (HKD MM)