Deutsche Post AG (DPW) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Deutsche Post AG

Bremer Lagerhaus Gesellschaft AG

Why is Deutsche Post AG ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 27.98%

Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 7.47

The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CF(Y) Lowest at EUR 8,801.00 MM
ROCE(HY) Lowest at 14.12 %
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Lowest at 75.79 times

With ROE of 17.70%, it has a Attractive valuation with a 2.29 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 3.93%, its profits have risen by 3.8% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 1.8
At the current price, the company has a high dividend yield of 4.9

Underperformed the market in the last 1 year

The stock has generated a return of 3.93% in the last 1 year, much lower than market (Germany DAX (TR)) returns of 24.35%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Deutsche Post AG should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Transport Services should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Transport Services)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Deutsche Post AG for you?

Low Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Deutsche Post AG

-100.0%

0.42

28.25%

Germany DAX (TR)

18.37%

1.26

19.31%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

5.24%

EBIT Growth (5y)

9.12%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

7.47

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

0.37

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.81

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

2.22

Tax Ratio

29.73%

Dividend Payout Ratio

64.75%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

0.09%

ROCE (avg)

27.98%

ROE (avg)

21.85%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

2.29

EV to EBIT

11.73

EV to EBITDA

6.47

EV to Capital Employed

1.62

EV to Sales

0.83

PEG Ratio

1.82

Dividend Yield

4.85%

ROCE (Latest)

13.83%

ROE (Latest)

17.70%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

No Trend

OBV

Mildly Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

Not enough Data to analyse Financial Trend

Here's what is working for Deutsche Post AG

Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR) - Annually

Highest at 59.82 %

in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend

DPR (%)

Here's what is not working for Deutsche Post AG

Inventory Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly

Lowest at 75.79 times and Fallen

each half year in the last five half yearly periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Operating Cash Flow - Annually

Lowest at EUR 8,801.00 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (EUR MM)

Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly

Lowest at EUR 2,472 MM.

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (EUR MM)

Operating Profit Margin - Quarterly

Lowest at 12.21%

in the last five quarters

MOJO Watch

Company's efficiency has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales (EUR MM)

Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly

Lowest at EUR 1,039 MM.

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term PBT trend is negative

PBT less Other Income (EUR MM)

Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly

At EUR 1,039 MM has Fallen at -18.7 %

over average PBT of the previous four periods of EUR 1,278 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term PBT trend is negative

PBT less Other Income (EUR MM)

Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly

Lowest at EUR 802 MM.

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term PAT trend is negative

PAT (EUR MM)

Earnings per Share (EPS) - Quarterly

Lowest at EUR 0.62

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (EUR)

Non Operating Income - Quarterly

Highest at EUR 114 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Increased income from non business activities may not be sustainable

Non Operating Income (EUR MM)