Why is Etsy, Inc. ?
1
With a Negative Book Value, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 679.2 MM
- DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at -147.9 %
- INTEREST(Q) Highest at USD 3.77 MM
2
Risky - Negative Book Value
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -2.91%, its profits have fallen by -20%
3
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -2.91% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in E-Retail/ E-Commerce)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Etsy, Inc. for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Etsy, Inc.
-8.77%
-0.34
53.58%
S&P 500
13.22%
0.61
20.17%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
20.34%
EBIT Growth (5y)
17.40%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
100.00
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
2.10
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-1.57
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.65
Tax Ratio
36.81%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
100.00%
ROCE (avg)
76.05%
ROE (avg)
71.42%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
21
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
-7.31
EV to EBIT
19.31
EV to EBITDA
15.34
EV to Capital Employed
15.62
EV to Sales
2.87
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
80.89%
ROE (Latest)
Negative BV
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
OBV
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
2What is working for the Company
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by 0.5% (YoY
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 14.3 times
-22What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD 679.2 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at -147.9 %
INTEREST(Q)
Highest at USD 3.77 MM
OPERATING PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD 95.93 MM
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)
Lowest at 14.26 %
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD 45.25 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD 25.51 MM
Here's what is working for Etsy, Inc.
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Highest at 14.3 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by 0.5% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for Etsy, Inc.
Net Profit
At USD 25.51 MM has Fallen at -51.96%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative
Net Profit (USD MM)
Interest
At USD 3.77 MM has Grown at inf%
period on period (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (USD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 45.25 MM has Fallen at -42.82%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at -147.9 % and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 679.2 MM
in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Interest
Highest at USD 3.77 MM
in the last five periods and Increased by inf% (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (USD MM)
Operating Profit
Lowest at USD 95.93 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is negative
Operating Profit (USD MM)
Operating Profit Margin
Lowest at 14.26 %
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has deteriorated
Operating Profit to Sales
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at USD 45.25 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at USD 25.51 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (USD MM)






