Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc () Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc

Why is Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc ?

The company has declared negative results for the last 5 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at LKR -157.57 MM
INTEREST(HY) At LKR 227.96 MM has Grown at 81.31%
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Lowest at 4.28 times

With ROE of 6.98%, it has a expensive valuation with a 0.00 Price to Book Value

Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -20.00%, its profits have fallen by -38%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -20.00% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed Sri Lanka CSE All Share in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Packaging)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc for you?

Medium Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc

-20.0%

-0.58

27.83%

Sri Lanka CSE All Share

11.95%

0.72

16.49%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

16.04%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-8.28%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

3.10

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

2.97

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.95

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

1.48

Tax Ratio

100.00%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

19.23%

ROE (avg)

27.62%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

EV to EBIT

16.31

EV to EBITDA

6.41

EV to Capital Employed

0.51

EV to Sales

0.41

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

3.12%

ROE (Latest)

6.98%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

No Trend

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

2What is working for the Company

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Highest at LKR 1,352.49 MM

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at LKR 2,846.98 MM

-22What is not working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at LKR -157.57 MM

INTEREST(HY)

At LKR 227.96 MM has Grown at 81.31%

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.28 times

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 38.35% (YoY

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 5.07 times

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at LKR -40.02 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at -1.41 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at LKR -199.18 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at LKR -6.45 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at LKR -0.02

Here's what is working for Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc

Net Sales

Highest at LKR 2,846.98 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (LKR MM)

Cash and Eqv

Highest at LKR 1,352.49 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is improving

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Here's what is not working for Ex-Pack Corrugated Cartons Plc

Pre-Tax Profit

At LKR -199.18 MM has Fallen at -387.77%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of LKR 69.22 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (LKR MM)

Net Profit

At LKR -6.45 MM has Fallen at -107.3%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of LKR 88.41 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (LKR MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at LKR -157.57 MM and Fallen

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (LKR MM)

Interest

At LKR 227.96 MM has Grown at 81.31%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (LKR MM)

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 4.28 times and Fallen

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Operating Profit

Lowest at LKR -40.02 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (LKR MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at -1.41 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at LKR -199.18 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (LKR MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at LKR -6.45 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (LKR MM)

EPS

Lowest at LKR -0.02

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (LKR)

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 5.07 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 38.35% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales