First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

  • Market Cap: Micro Cap
  • Industry: Leisure Services
  • ISIN: US33748L1017
USD
11.54
0.05 (0.44%)
  • Price Points
  • Score
  • Mojo Parameters
  • Total Return
  • News and Corporate Actions
  • Key factors
  • Shareholding
  • Financials
  • CompanyCV
stock-recommendationScore
Click here to find our call on this stock
Strong Sell
Sell
Hold
Buy
Strong Buy

Comparison

Company
Score
Quality
Valuation
Financial
Technical
Brinker International, Inc.
Arcos Dorados Holdings, Inc.
Sweetgreen, Inc.
Cheesecake Factory, Inc.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Shake Shack, Inc.
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Cannae Holdings, Inc.
Jack in the Box, Inc.
Papa John's International, Inc.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

Why is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ?

1
Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 43.07% and Operating profit at 68.62%
2
The company has declared Negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters
  • NET PROFIT(HY) At USD 6.88 MM has Grown at -45.38%
  • ROCE(HY) Lowest at 0.83%
  • DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 158.69 %
3
With ROCE of 3.25%, it has a very expensive valuation with a 1.13 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
  • The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
  • Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -40.64%, its profits have fallen by -55.1%
4
Reducing Promoter Confidence
  • Promoters have decreased their stake in the company by -22.79% over the previous quarter and currently hold 8.67% of the company
  • Promoters decreasing their stake may signify reduced confidence in the future of the business
5
Below par performance in long term as well as near term
  • Along with generating -40.64% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months
stock-recommendationReal-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

  1. Overall Portfolio exposure to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. should be less than 10%
  2. Overall Portfolio exposure to Leisure Services should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Leisure Services)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
-26.82%
-0.75
57.36%
S&P 500
29.58%
0.62
19.30%
stock-recommendationQuality
stock-summaryManagement Risk
stock-summaryGrowth
stock-summaryCapital Structure
stock-recommendation
Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
43.07%
EBIT Growth (5y)
68.62%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
2.88
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.56
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.40
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.21
Tax Ratio
33.95%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
100.00%
ROCE (avg)
4.70%
ROE (avg)
2.66%
stock-recommendationValuation

Valuation Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors stock-summary

Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
65
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
1.20
EV to EBIT
34.88
EV to EBITDA
10.38
EV to Capital Employed
1.13
EV to Sales
0.89
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
3.25%
ROE (Latest)
1.84%
stock-recommendationTechnicals

Technical key factors

Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
Bullish
Bullish
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
stock-recommendation Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish  Turned 
Technical Movement
stock-recommendationFinancial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

16What is working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD 140.23 MM

NET PROFIT(HY)

Higher at USD 15.12 MM

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at USD 330.96 MM

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -13.06% (YoY

-17What is not working for the Company
INTEREST(HY)

At USD 9.57 MM has Grown at 46.09%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 160.85 %

INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)

Lowest at 504.4

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -1.73 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -0.98 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at USD -0.04

Here's what is working for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow
Highest at USD 140.23 MM and Grown
In each year in the last three years
MOJO Watch
The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Net Sales
Highest at USD 330.96 MM and Grown
In each period in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -13.06% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Depreciation
Highest at USD 21.4 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit
At USD -1.73 MM has Fallen at -137.7%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 4.59 MM
MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit
At USD -0.98 MM has Fallen at -116.16%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 6.07 MM
MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Interest Coverage Ratio
Lowest at 504.4
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is deteriorating

Operating Profit to Interest

Interest
At USD 9.57 MM has Grown at 46.09%
over previous Semi-Annual period
MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 160.85 % and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods
MOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at USD -1.73 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit
Lowest at USD -0.98 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS
Lowest at USD -0.04
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)