Why is Fossil Group, Inc. ?
1
Poor Management Efficiency with a low ROCE of 5.68%
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 5.68% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -43.25 MM
- DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 147.08 %
- CASH AND EQV(HY) Lowest at USD 189.96 MM
2
Risky - Negative Operating Profits
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 128.68%, its profits have risen by 73.2%
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Gems, Jewellery And Watches)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Fossil Group, Inc. for you?
High Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Fossil Group, Inc.
70.14%
0.81
137.24%
S&P 500
13.22%
0.61
20.17%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-10.63%
EBIT Growth (5y)
17.01%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
0.14
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
5.28
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.01
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.90
Tax Ratio
2.21%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
52.58%
ROCE (avg)
5.68%
ROE (avg)
2.69%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.56
EV to EBIT
-33.01
EV to EBITDA
26.43
EV to Capital Employed
0.78
EV to Sales
0.20
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
-2.36%
ROE (Latest)
-17.45%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
Technical Movement
17What is working for the Company
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 2.53 times
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -9.47% (YoY
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)
Highest at 8.51 %
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Highest at USD 11.42 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
At USD -6.01 MM has Grown at 72.13%
EPS(Q)
Highest at USD -0.04
-9What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD -43.25 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 147.08 %
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at USD 189.96 MM
NET SALES(Q)
Lowest at USD 220.39 MM
Here's what is working for Fossil Group, Inc.
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 11.42 MM has Grown at 158.89%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Highest at 2.53 times and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its inventory faster
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Operating Profit Margin
Highest at 8.51 %
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has improved
Operating Profit to Sales
Pre-Tax Profit
Highest at USD 11.42 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
At USD -6.01 MM has Grown at 72.13%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (USD MM)
EPS
Highest at USD -0.04
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders
EPS (USD)
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -9.47% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for Fossil Group, Inc.
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 147.08 % and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD -43.25 MM
in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Net Sales
Lowest at USD 220.39 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is negative
Net Sales (USD MM)
Net Sales
Fallen at -15.23%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is negative
Net Sales (USD MM)
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at USD 189.96 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents






