Why is Fossil Group, Inc. ?
1
Poor Management Efficiency with a low ROCE of 5.68%
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 5.68% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -42.59 MM
- CASH AND EQV(HY) Lowest at USD 194.68 MM
- DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 227.47 %
2
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 204.58%, its profits have risen by 94%
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Gems, Jewellery And Watches)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Fossil Group, Inc. for you?
High Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Fossil Group, Inc.
204.58%
1.52
121.89%
S&P 500
14.9%
0.77
19.29%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-9.91%
EBIT Growth (5y)
17.54%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
0.14
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
5.28
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.01
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.96
Tax Ratio
2.21%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
61.75%
ROCE (avg)
5.68%
ROE (avg)
2.69%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
2.32
EV to EBIT
13.46
EV to EBITDA
9.32
EV to Capital Employed
1.57
EV to Sales
0.38
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
11.66%
ROE (Latest)
-3.92%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bullish
Bullish
RSI
No Signal
Bearish
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bullish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
No Trend
OBV
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
1What is working for the Company
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by 0.72% (YoY
-8What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD -42.59 MM
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at USD 194.68 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 227.47 %
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 6.34 times
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD -24.8 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD -32.59 MM
EPS(Q)
Lowest at USD -0.76
Here's what is working for Fossil Group, Inc.
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by 0.72% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for Fossil Group, Inc.
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD -42.59 MM
in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at USD -24.8 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at USD -32.59 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (USD MM)
EPS
Lowest at USD -0.76
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders
EPS (USD)
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at USD 194.68 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 227.47 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Lowest at 6.34 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed
Debtors Turnover Ratio






