GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc. (ICL) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Acadian Timber Corp.

Atlas Engineered Products Ltd.

Stella-Jones, Inc.

Interfor Corp.

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.

G2 Energy Corp.

Western Forest Products, Inc.

Canfor Corp.

GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc.

Conifex Timber, Inc.

Why is GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc. ?

The company declared negative results in Dec'24 after positive results in Sep'24

NET PROFIT(9M) At CAD -35.32 MM has Grown at -52.25%

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -59.75%, its profits have risen by 56.2%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -59.75% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P/TSX 60 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc.

-100.0%

1.34

812.00%

S&P/TSX 60

21.87%

1.54

14.62%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

212.40%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-328.34%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-0.54

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

2.55

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.15

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

2.03

Tax Ratio

3.75%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

20.50%

ROCE (avg)

3.80%

ROE (avg)

3.53%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.63

EV to EBIT

-1.25

EV to EBITDA

-1.64

EV to Capital Employed

0.72

EV to Sales

0.27

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-57.83%

ROE (Latest)

-113.49%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bullish

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Mildly Bullish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

1What is working for the Company

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Highest at 16.05 times

-34What is not working for the Company

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -74.9%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 1,971.74% (YoY

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 41.23 %

INTEREST(Q)

Highest at CAD 6.56 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD -47.19 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at -67.2 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD -57.37 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD -57.38 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at CAD -2.54

Here's what is working for GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc.

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Highest at 16.05 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Here's what is not working for GreenFirst Forest Products, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At CAD -57.37 MM has Fallen at -510.22%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)

Net Profit

At CAD -57.38 MM has Fallen at -487.15%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (CAD MM)

Interest

At CAD 6.56 MM has Grown at 695.87%

period on period (QoQ)

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (CAD MM)

Interest

Highest at CAD 6.56 MM

in the last five periods and Increased by 695.87% (QoQ)

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (CAD MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at CAD -47.19 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (CAD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at -67.2 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at CAD -57.37 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at CAD -57.38 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (CAD MM)

EPS

Lowest at CAD -2.54

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (CAD)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 41.23 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 1,971.74% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales