ScoreWhy is Greggs Plc ?
1
Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with a 17.68% CAGR growth in Net Sales
- Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 24.62
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 37.83% signifying high profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
2
The company has declared negative results in Dec'2024 after 7 consecutive positive quarters
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at 27.24%
- INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q) Lowest at 1,809.76
- CASH AND EQV(HY) Lowest at GBP 32.5 MM
3
With ROE of 23.61%, it has a fair valuation with a 3.07 Price to Book Value
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -42.43%, its profits have risen by 0.1% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 13
4
Below par performance in long term as well as near term
- Along with generating -42.43% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed FTSE 100 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months
Real-Time Research ReportHow much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Greggs Plc should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to FMCG should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in FMCG)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is Greggs Plc for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Greggs Plc
-42.43%
-1.14
38.60%
FTSE 100
15.94%
1.23
12.99%
Quality
Management Risk
Growth
Capital StructureQuality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
17.68%
EBIT Growth (5y)
65.63%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
24.62
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
Net Debt is too low
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.13
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.96
Tax Ratio
24.77%
Dividend Payout Ratio
45.78%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.01%
ROCE (avg)
37.83%
ROE (avg)
20.67%
ValuationValuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
13
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
3.07
EV to EBIT
9.48
EV to EBITDA
5.31
EV to Capital Employed
2.87
EV to Sales
0.87
PEG Ratio
12.98
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
30.30%
ROE (Latest)
23.61%
TechnicalsTechnical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
Bullish
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned 
Financial Trend5What is working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Highest at GBP 658 MM
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)
Highest at 41.61%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -0.88% (YoY
-15What is not working for the Company
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 27.24%
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)
Lowest at 1,809.76
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at GBP 32.5 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 73.62 %
INTEREST(Q)
Highest at GBP 8.2 MM
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)
Lowest at 14.44 %
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at GBP 63.5 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at GBP 46.5 MM
EPS(Q)
Lowest at GBP 0.45
Here's what is working for Greggs Plc
Operating Cash Flow
Highest at GBP 658 MM and Grown
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations
Operating Cash Flows (GBP MM)
Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 41.61%
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend
DPR (%)
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -0.88% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Depreciation
Highest at GBP 78 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation
Depreciation (GBP MM)
Here's what is not working for Greggs Plc
Interest Coverage Ratio
Lowest at 1,809.76
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is deteriorating
Operating Profit to Interest
Interest
Highest at GBP 8.2 MM
in the last five periods and Increased by 115.79% (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (GBP MM)
Operating Profit Margin
Lowest at 14.44 %
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has deteriorated
Operating Profit to Sales
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at GBP 63.5 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative
Pre-Tax Profit (GBP MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at GBP 46.5 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (GBP MM)
EPS
Lowest at GBP 0.45
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders
EPS (GBP)
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at GBP 32.5 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 73.62 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
InfinHub Market Technologies FZ-LLC, Building-2, Unit 112, Dubai Internet City, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
GET THE MARKETSMOJO APP
Company
Stocks
Portfolio
"Investment in securities markets are subject to market risk. Read all the related documents carefully before investing."
