ScoreWhy is Greggs Plc ?
1
Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with a 21.53% CAGR growth in Net Sales
- Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 24.62
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 37.83% signifying high profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)
2
Positive results in Dec 25
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Highest at GBP 655.6 MM
- DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y) Highest at 67.32%
- RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Fallen by -1.49% (YoY)
3
With ROE of 19.55%, it has a fair valuation with a 2.61 Price to Book Value
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -16.27%, its profits have fallen by -14.5%
4
Below par performance in long term as well as near term
- Along with generating -16.27% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed FTSE 100 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months
Real-Time Research ReportHow much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Greggs Plc should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to FMCG should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in FMCG)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is Greggs Plc for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Greggs Plc
-16.27%
-1.31
33.38%
FTSE 100
17.87%
1.52
11.77%
Quality
Management Risk
Growth
Capital StructureQuality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
21.53%
EBIT Growth (5y)
99.39%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
24.62
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
Net Debt is too low
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.13
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
3.04
Tax Ratio
24.77%
Dividend Payout Ratio
57.53%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.01%
ROCE (avg)
37.83%
ROE (avg)
20.67%
ValuationValuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
13
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
2.61
EV to EBIT
9.00
EV to EBITDA
4.80
EV to Capital Employed
2.57
EV to Sales
0.77
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
28.51%
ROE (Latest)
19.55%
TechnicalsTechnical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned 
Financial Trend7What is working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Highest at GBP 655.6 MM
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)
Highest at 67.32%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -1.49% (YoY
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at GBP 1,123.5 MM
OPERATING PROFIT(Q)
Highest at GBP 195.2 MM
-6What is not working for the Company
INTEREST(HY)
At GBP 9.2 MM has Grown at 142.11%
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 20.44%
Here's what is working for Greggs Plc
Operating Cash Flow
Highest at GBP 655.6 MM and Grown
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations
Operating Cash Flows (GBP MM)
Net Sales
Highest at GBP 1,123.5 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (GBP MM)
Operating Profit
Highest at GBP 195.2 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (GBP MM)
Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 67.32%
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend
DPR (%)
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -1.49% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Depreciation
Highest at GBP 82.6 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation
Depreciation (GBP MM)
Here's what is not working for Greggs Plc
Interest
At GBP 9.2 MM has Grown at 142.11%
over previous Semi-Annual periodMOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (GBP MM)
InfinHub Market Technologies FZ-LLC, Building-2, Unit 112, Dubai Internet City, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
GET THE MARKETSMOJO APP
Company
Stocks
Portfolio
"Investment in securities markets are subject to market risk. Read all the related documents carefully before investing."
