Why is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ?
1
Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 2.58% of over the last 5 years
2
The company has declared Negative results for the last 5 consecutive quarters
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 195.09 MM
- INTEREST(9M) At USD 23.88 MM has Grown at 42.39%
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at 0.68%
3
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -47.89%, its profits have fallen by -12.3%
4
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -47.89% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Retailing)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
-42.53%
-0.70
69.08%
S&P 500
13.22%
0.61
20.17%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
9.45%
EBIT Growth (5y)
2.58%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
4.52
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
2.01
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.42
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.52
Tax Ratio
42.29%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
100.00%
ROCE (avg)
6.82%
ROE (avg)
6.68%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
24
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
1.14
EV to EBIT
19.31
EV to EBITDA
8.83
EV to Capital Employed
1.10
EV to Sales
0.41
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
5.68%
ROE (Latest)
4.81%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Mildly Bullish
Dow Theory
Bearish
Bearish
OBV
No Trend
Bearish
Technical Movement
5What is working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)
At USD 34.76 MM has Grown at 167.9%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by 1.27% (YoY
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at USD 1,179.77 MM
-9What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD 195.09 MM
INTEREST(9M)
At USD 23.88 MM has Grown at 42.39%
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 0.68%
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at USD 106.1 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 143.81 %
Here's what is working for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Net Profit
At USD 34.76 MM has Grown at 167.9%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive
Net Profit (USD MM)
Net Sales
Highest at USD 1,179.77 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (USD MM)
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by 1.27% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Depreciation
Highest at USD 31.33 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation
Depreciation (USD MM)
Here's what is not working for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 195.09 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Interest
At USD 23.88 MM has Grown at 42.39%
over previous Semi-Annual periodMOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (USD MM)
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at USD 106.1 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 143.81 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio






