Guess?, Inc.

  • Market Cap: Small Cap
  • Industry: Footwear
  • ISIN: US4016171054
USD
16.81
4.77 (39.62%)
  • Price Points
  • Score
  • Mojo Parameters
  • Total Return
  • News and Corporate Actions
  • Key factors
  • Shareholding
  • Financials
  • CompanyCV
stock-recommendationScore
Click here to find our call on this stock
Strong Sell
Sell
Hold
Buy
Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company
Score
Quality
Valuation
Financial
Technical
Hanesbrands, Inc.
Ralph Lauren Corp.
Levi Strauss & Co.
Guess?, Inc.
Columbia Sportswear Co.
G-III Apparel Group Ltd.
Kontoor Brands, Inc.
Steven Madden Ltd.
Under Armour, Inc.
Oxford Industries, Inc.
Ermenegildo Zegna NV

Why is Guess?, Inc. ?

1
High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 23.54%
2
Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 10.48
3
Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 111.57%
4
The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
  • NET PROFIT(HY) At USD -12.66 MM has Grown at -709.02%
  • OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 101.44 MM
  • ROCE(HY) Lowest at 6.23%
5
With ROCE of 13.77%, it has a very attractive valuation with a 1.95 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
  • The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
  • Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 7.34%, its profits have fallen by -88.6%
  • At the current price, the company has a high dividend yield of 411.3
6
High Institutional Holdings at 80.14%
  • These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.
stock-recommendationReal-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

  1. Overall Portfolio exposure to Guess?, Inc. should be less than 10%
  2. Overall Portfolio exposure to Footwear should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Guess?, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Guess?, Inc.
-100.0%
-0.39
68.82%
S&P 500
14.29%
0.70
20.15%
stock-recommendationQuality
stock-summaryManagement Risk
stock-summaryGrowth
stock-summaryCapital Structure
stock-recommendation
Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
7.87%
EBIT Growth (5y)
111.57%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
10.48
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.65
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.34
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.29
Tax Ratio
25.02%
Dividend Payout Ratio
156.05%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
81.50%
ROCE (avg)
23.54%
ROE (avg)
29.86%
stock-recommendationValuation

Valuation Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors stock-summary

Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
57
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
3.23
EV to EBIT
14.15
EV to EBITDA
9.79
EV to Capital Employed
1.95
EV to Sales
0.73
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
411.32%
ROCE (Latest)
13.77%
ROE (Latest)
5.65%
stock-recommendationTechnicals

Technical key factors

Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Sideways
Bullish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
OBV
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bullish
stock-recommendation Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish  Turned 
Technical Movement
stock-recommendationFinancial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

7What is working for the Company
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD 17.08 MM has Grown at 330.23%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD 7.01 MM has Grown at 153.94%

DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)

Highest at 258.4%

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Highest at 8.82 times

-13What is not working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)

At USD -12.66 MM has Grown at -709.02%

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD 101.44 MM

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 6.23%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 290.6 %

Here's what is working for Guess?, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 17.08 MM has Grown at 330.23%
Year on Year (YoY)
MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit
At USD 7.01 MM has Grown at 153.94%
Year on Year (YoY)
MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Debtors Turnover Ratio
Highest at 8.82 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periods
MOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 258.4%
in the last five years
MOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend

DPR (%)

Depreciation
Highest at USD 18.02 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for Guess?, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 101.44 MM
in the last three years
MOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 290.6 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periods
MOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio