Why is Guess?, Inc. ?
1
High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 23.54%
2
Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 10.48
3
Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 111.57%
4
The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
- NET PROFIT(HY) At USD -12.66 MM has Grown at -709.02%
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 101.44 MM
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at 6.23%
5
With ROCE of 13.77%, it has a very attractive valuation with a 1.95 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
- The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -0.87%, its profits have fallen by -88.6%
- At the current price, the company has a high dividend yield of 411.3
6
High Institutional Holdings at 80.14%
- These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.
7
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -0.87% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Guess?, Inc. should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Footwear should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is Guess?, Inc. for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Guess?, Inc.
-0.29%
-0.37
69.23%
S&P 500
13.22%
0.64
20.20%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
7.87%
EBIT Growth (5y)
111.57%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
10.48
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.65
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.34
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.28
Tax Ratio
25.02%
Dividend Payout Ratio
156.05%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
80.14%
ROCE (avg)
23.54%
ROE (avg)
29.86%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
57
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
3.23
EV to EBIT
14.15
EV to EBITDA
9.79
EV to Capital Employed
1.95
EV to Sales
0.73
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
411.32%
ROCE (Latest)
13.77%
ROE (Latest)
5.65%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
Technical Movement
7What is working for the Company
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
At USD 17.08 MM has Grown at 330.23%
NET PROFIT(Q)
At USD 7.01 MM has Grown at 153.94%
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)
Highest at 258.4%
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 8.82 times
-13What is not working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)
At USD -12.66 MM has Grown at -709.02%
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD 101.44 MM
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 6.23%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 290.6 %
Here's what is working for Guess?, Inc.
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 17.08 MM has Grown at 330.23%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
At USD 7.01 MM has Grown at 153.94%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive
Net Profit (USD MM)
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Highest at 8.82 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 258.4%
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend
DPR (%)
Depreciation
Highest at USD 18.02 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation
Depreciation (USD MM)
Here's what is not working for Guess?, Inc.
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 101.44 MM
in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 290.6 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio






