Why is Hilton Metal Forging Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with an average Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 5.85%
- Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.56 times
2
45.61% of Promoter Shares are Pledged
- In falling markets, high promoter pledged shares puts additional downward pressure on the stock prices
- The proportion of pledged holdings has increased by 23.43% over the last quarter
3
Below par performance in long term as well as near term
- Along with generating -54.59% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Castings & Forgings)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Hilton Met.Forg. for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Hilton Met.Forg.
-54.59%
-0.95
57.23%
Sensex
4.83%
0.41
11.83%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
25.01%
EBIT Growth (5y)
25.86%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
0.60
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
5.17
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.52
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.86
Tax Ratio
Tax Ratio is Negative%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
45.61%
Institutional Holding
0.23%
ROCE (avg)
3.05%
ROE (avg)
6.89%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
14
Industry P/E
35
Price to Book Value
0.82
EV to EBIT
19.36
EV to EBITDA
15.18
EV to Capital Employed
0.88
EV to Sales
0.81
PEG Ratio
0.17
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
4.54%
ROE (Latest)
5.85%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
Technical Movement
23What is working for the Company
NET SALES(Latest six months)
At Rs 109.69 cr has Grown at 41.03%
OPERATING PROFIT TO INTEREST(Q)
Highest at 2.24 times
PBDIT(Q)
Highest at Rs 3.40 cr.
PBT LESS OI(Q)
Highest at Rs 1.32 cr.
PAT(Q)
At Rs 1.74 cr has Grown at 21.0% (vs previous 4Q average
0What is not working for the Company
NO KEY NEGATIVE TRIGGERS
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for Hilton Met.Forg.
Net Sales - Quarterly
At Rs 87.64 cr has Grown at 132.1% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average Net Sales of the previous four quarters of Rs 37.77 CrMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 1.32 cr has Grown at 2100.0% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PBT of the previous four quarters of Rs 0.06 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit to Interest - Quarterly
Highest at 2.24 times
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is improving
Operating Profit to Interest
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 87.64 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 3.40 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (Rs Cr)
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 1.32 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs 1.74 cr has Grown at 21.0% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PAT of the previous four quarters of Rs 1.44 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is positive
PAT (Rs Cr)






