Kelt Exploration Ltd. (KEL) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.

Crescent Point Energy Corp.

NuVista Energy Ltd.

Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Athabasca Oil Corp.

Baytex Energy Corp.

Headwater Exploration, Inc.

Kelt Exploration Ltd.

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.

Paramount Resources Ltd.

Enerplus Corp.

Why is Kelt Exploration Ltd. ?

The company has declared Negative results for the last 12 consecutive quarters

INTEREST(HY) At CAD 6.19 MM has Grown at 78.12%
NET PROFIT(HY) At CAD 26.33 MM has Grown at -38.25%
ROCE(HY) Lowest at 4.01%

With ROE of 3.35%, it has a expensive valuation with a 1.74 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a fair value compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 14.73%, its profits have fallen by -31.3%

Underperformed the market in the last 1 year

The stock has generated a return of 14.73% in the last 1 year, much lower than market (S&P/TSX 60) returns of 29.60%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Kelt Exploration Ltd. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Kelt Exploration Ltd.

14.73%

1.06

39.82%

S&P/TSX 60

29.6%

2.31

12.81%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

21.79%

EBIT Growth (5y)

28.70%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

70.15

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt is too low

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.10

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.38

Tax Ratio

25.75%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

2.51%

ROCE (avg)

11.94%

ROE (avg)

9.35%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.74

EV to EBIT

39.88

EV to EBITDA

8.46

EV to Capital Employed

1.65

EV to Sales

4.35

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

4.15%

ROE (Latest)

3.35%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

7What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at CAD 267.04 MM

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at CAD 153.26 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Highest at CAD 87.71 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Highest at 57.23 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At CAD 25.19 MM has Grown at 50.98%

-17What is not working for the Company

INTEREST(HY)

At CAD 6.19 MM has Grown at 78.12%

NET PROFIT(HY)

At CAD 26.33 MM has Grown at -38.25%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 4.01%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 10.25% (YoY

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 7.43 times

Here's what is working for Kelt Exploration Ltd.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at CAD 267.04 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (CAD MM)

Net Sales

Highest at CAD 153.26 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (CAD MM)

Net Sales

At CAD 153.26 MM has Grown at 31.27%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 116.75 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (CAD MM)

Operating Profit

Highest at CAD 87.71 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is positive

Operating Profit (CAD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Highest at 57.23 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has improved

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

At CAD 25.19 MM has Grown at 50.98%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 16.69 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive

Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)

Depreciation

Highest at CAD 57.46 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (CAD MM)

Here's what is not working for Kelt Exploration Ltd.

Interest

At CAD 6.19 MM has Grown at 78.12%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (CAD MM)

Net Profit

At CAD 26.33 MM has Grown at -38.25%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (CAD MM)

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 7.43 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 10.25% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales