Mercer International, Inc. (MERC) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Sylvamo Corp.

IT Tech Packaging, Inc.

Clearwater Paper Corp.

Glatfelter Corp.

Mercer International, Inc.

Why is Mercer International, Inc. ?

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 313.29 %
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 334.31% (YoY)
CASH AND EQV(HY) Lowest at USD 327.97 MM

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -72.43%, its profits have risen by 70.9%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -72.43% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Mercer International, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Mercer International, Inc.

-69.14%

-1.27

63.06%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.61

20.17%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

6.76%

EBIT Growth (5y)

21.01%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

2.00

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

7.81

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

3.05

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.98

Tax Ratio

6.23%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

70.86%

ROCE (avg)

9.69%

ROE (avg)

10.17%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.56

EV to EBIT

27.96

EV to EBITDA

6.95

EV to Capital Employed

0.89

EV to Sales

0.79

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

8.18%

ROCE (Latest)

3.19%

ROE (Latest)

-12.92%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

1What is working for the Company

NET PROFIT(9M)

Higher at USD -91.7 MM

-23What is not working for the Company

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 313.29 %

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 334.31% (YoY

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at USD 327.97 MM

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.49 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 5.74 times

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at USD 453.52 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -20.88 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at -4.6 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -87.94 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -86.07 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at USD -1.29

Here's what is not working for Mercer International, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD -87.94 MM has Fallen at -587.3%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -12.79 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD -86.07 MM has Fallen at -509.35%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -14.13 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 313.29 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Net Sales

Lowest at USD 453.52 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Net Sales

At USD 453.52 MM has Fallen at -9.15%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 499.23 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at USD -20.88 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at -4.6 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at USD -87.94 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at USD -86.07 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS

Lowest at USD -1.29

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at USD 327.97 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 4.49 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 5.74 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 334.31% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales