Why is Murphy Oil Corp. ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with an average Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 13.92%
2
The company has declared Negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 1,521.28 MM
- INTEREST(9M) At USD 92.24 MM has Grown at 42.59%
- NET SALES(HY) At USD 1,355.8 MM has Grown at -15.04%
3
With ROCE of 9.61%, it has a very expensive valuation with a 0.85 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
- The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 3.21%, its profits have fallen by -24.5%
4
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- The stock has generated a return of 3.21% in the last 1 year, much lower than market (S&P 500) returns of 13.22%
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Murphy Oil Corp. for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Murphy Oil Corp.
3.21%
-0.38
51.92%
S&P 500
13.22%
0.65
20.20%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
3.03%
EBIT Growth (5y)
107.57%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
6.70
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.36
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.26
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.48
Tax Ratio
14.86%
Dividend Payout Ratio
44.51%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
99.85%
ROCE (avg)
13.92%
ROE (avg)
15.02%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
8
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.81
EV to EBIT
8.80
EV to EBITDA
3.57
EV to Capital Employed
0.85
EV to Sales
1.88
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
4.73%
ROCE (Latest)
9.61%
ROE (Latest)
9.69%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bullish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Bullish
Bearish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
OBV
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
3What is working for the Company
DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)
Highest at USD 9.1
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)
Highest at 208.87%
-29What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at USD 1,521.28 MM
INTEREST(9M)
At USD 92.24 MM has Grown at 42.59%
NET SALES(HY)
At USD 1,355.8 MM has Grown at -15.04%
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 5.42%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 30.15% (YoY
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD 24.05 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at USD 10.49 MM
EPS(Q)
Lowest at USD 0.16
Here's what is working for Murphy Oil Corp.
Dividend per share
Highest at USD 9.1 and Grown
In each year in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated
DPS (USD)
Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 208.87%
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend
DPR (%)
Depreciation
Highest at USD 276.01 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation
Depreciation (USD MM)
Depreciation
At USD 276.01 MM has Grown at 31.52%
period on period (QoQ)MOJO Watch
The expenditure on assets done by the company has gone into productive use which should positively reflect in the future sales
Depreciation (USD MM)
Here's what is not working for Murphy Oil Corp.
Pre-Tax Profit
At USD 24.05 MM has Fallen at -83.54%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 146.08 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
At USD 10.49 MM has Fallen at -90.12%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 106.22 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative
Net Profit (USD MM)
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 1,521.28 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)
Net Sales
At USD 1,355.8 MM has Grown at -15.04%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is negative
Net Sales (USD MM)
Interest
At USD 92.24 MM has Grown at 42.59%
over previous Semi-Annual periodMOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (USD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at USD 24.05 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative
Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at USD 10.49 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (USD MM)
EPS
Lowest at USD 0.16
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders
EPS (USD)
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 30.15% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






