Natl.Fertilizer

INR
78.35
-0.86 (-1.09%)
BSENSE

Jan 21

BSE+NSE Vol: 10.9 lacs

  • Price Points
  • Score
  • Mojo Parameters
  • Total Return
  • News and Corporate Actions
  • Key factors
  • Shareholding
  • Financials
  • CompanyCV
stock-recommendationScore
Click here to find our call on this stock
Strong Sell
Sell
Hold
Buy
Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company
Score
Quality
Valuation
Financial
Technical
Krishana Phosch.
M B Agro Prod.
Mangalore Chem.
Paradeep Phosph.
GSFC
GNFC
SPIC
Deepak Fertilis.
RCF
Natl.Fertilizer
Kothari Indl

Why is National Fertilizer Ltd ?

1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -23.32% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
  • Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.56 times
  • The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 5.85% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
  • PBT LESS OI(Q) At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%
  • PAT(Q) At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%
  • ROCE(HY) Lowest at 4.41%
3
Despite the size of the company, domestic mutual funds hold only 0.45% of the company
  • Domestic mutual funds have capability to do in-depth on-the-ground research on companies- their small stake may signify either they are not comfortable at the price or the business
4
Below par performance in long term as well as near term
  • Along with generating -28.45% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months
stock-recommendationReal-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

  1. All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Fertilizers)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Natl.Fertilizer for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Natl.Fertilizer
-28.45%
-0.83
34.08%
Sensex
8.01%
0.71
11.36%
stock-recommendationQuality
stock-summaryManagement Risk
stock-summaryGrowth
stock-summaryCapital Structure
stock-recommendation
Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
9.98%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-23.32%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.52
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.23
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.75
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
3.88
Tax Ratio
22.63%
Dividend Payout Ratio
8.83%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
6.98%
ROCE (avg)
8.23%
ROE (avg)
5.85%
stock-recommendationValuation

Valuation Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors stock-summary

Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
36
Industry P/E
23
Price to Book Value
1.50
EV to EBIT
39.10
EV to EBITDA
13.94
EV to Capital Employed
1.18
EV to Sales
0.40
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
1.91%
ROCE (Latest)
3.02%
ROE (Latest)
4.11%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
stock-recommendationTechnicals

Technical key factors

Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
stock-recommendation Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish  Turned 
Technical Movement
stock-recommendationFinancial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

3What is working for the Company
NET SALES(Q)

Highest at Rs 6,763.07 cr

-15What is not working for the Company
PBT LESS OI(Q)

At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%

PAT(Q)

At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 4.41%

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.09 times

Loading Valuation Snapshot...

Here's what is working for Natl.Fertilizer

Net Sales - Quarterly
At Rs 6,763.07 cr has Grown at 54.04%
Year on Year (YoY)
MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive

Net Sales (Rs Cr)

Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 6,763.07 cr
in the last five quarters
MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (Rs Cr)

Here's what is not working for Natl.Fertilizer

Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%
Year on Year (YoY)
MOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very negative

PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)

Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%
Year on Year (YoY)
MOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very negative

PAT (Rs Cr)

Debtors Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly
Lowest at 4.09 times
in the last five half yearly periods
MOJO Watch
Company's pace of settling its Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio