Why is National Fertilizer Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -13.18% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
- Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.56 times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 5.85% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
Despite the size of the company, domestic mutual funds hold only 0.45% of the company
- Domestic mutual funds have capability to do in-depth on-the-ground research on companies- their small stake may signify either they are not comfortable at the price or the business
3
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -3.22% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Fertilizers)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Natl.Fertilizer for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Natl.Fertilizer
-0.83%
-0.10
32.36%
Sensex
5.57%
0.45
11.95%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
12.58%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-13.18%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.52
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.23
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.75
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
3.88
Tax Ratio
22.67%
Dividend Payout Ratio
8.83%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
6.98%
ROCE (avg)
8.23%
ROE (avg)
5.85%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
18
Industry P/E
20
Price to Book Value
1.34
EV to EBIT
22.81
EV to EBITDA
10.59
EV to Capital Employed
1.12
EV to Sales
0.37
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
2.14%
ROCE (Latest)
3.02%
ROE (Latest)
4.11%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
Technical Movement
18What is working for the Company
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at Rs 6,869.75 cr
PBDIT(Q)
Highest at Rs 295.87 cr.
PBT LESS OI(Q)
Highest at Rs 155.13 cr.
PAT(Q)
Highest at Rs 135.20 cr.
EPS(Q)
Highest at Rs 2.76
-5What is not working for the Company
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 4.41%
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 4.09 times
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for Natl.Fertilizer
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 155.13 cr has Grown at 516.33%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs 135.20 cr has Grown at 195.1%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very positive
PAT (Rs Cr)
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 6,869.75 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 295.87 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (Rs Cr)
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 155.13 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 135.20 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is positive
PAT (Rs Cr)
Earnings per Share (EPS) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 2.76
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders
EPS (Rs)
Here's what is not working for Natl.Fertilizer
Debtors Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly
Lowest at 4.09 times
in the last five half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
Company's pace of settling its Debtors has slowed
Debtors Turnover Ratio






