Why is National Fertilizer Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -23.32% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
- Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.56 times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 5.85% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
- PBT LESS OI(Q) At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%
- PAT(Q) At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at 4.41%
3
Despite the size of the company, domestic mutual funds hold only 0.35% of the company
- Domestic mutual funds have capability to do in-depth on-the-ground research on companies- their small stake may signify either they are not comfortable at the price or the business
4
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (BSE500) has generated returns of 2.12% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -27.26% returns
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Fertilizers)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Natl.Fertilizer for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Natl.Fertilizer
-27.47%
-0.77
35.55%
Sensex
4.83%
0.41
11.83%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
9.98%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-23.32%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.52
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
4.23
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
1.75
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
3.88
Tax Ratio
22.63%
Dividend Payout Ratio
8.83%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
6.90%
ROCE (avg)
8.23%
ROE (avg)
5.85%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
41
Industry P/E
24
Price to Book Value
1.70
EV to EBIT
41.57
EV to EBITDA
14.82
EV to Capital Employed
1.26
EV to Sales
0.43
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
1.68%
ROCE (Latest)
3.02%
ROE (Latest)
4.11%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
OBV
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Technical Movement
3What is working for the Company
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at Rs 6,763.07 cr
-15What is not working for the Company
PBT LESS OI(Q)
At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%
PAT(Q)
At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 4.41%
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 4.09 times
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for Natl.Fertilizer
Net Sales - Quarterly
At Rs 6,763.07 cr has Grown at 54.04%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 6,763.07 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Here's what is not working for Natl.Fertilizer
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs -51.18 cr has Fallen at -897.66%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very negative
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs -35.81 cr has Fallen at -396.7%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very negative
PAT (Rs Cr)
Debtors Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly
Lowest at 4.09 times
in the last five half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
Company's pace of settling its Debtors has slowed
Debtors Turnover Ratio






