Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NOG) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

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Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

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Murphy Oil Corp.

Why is Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 32.68%

Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 36.47% and Operating profit at 67.45%

Negative results in Jun 25

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 12.08% (YoY)

With ROCE of 16.94%, it has a very attractive valuation with a 1.09 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -43.47%, its profits have fallen by -21.9%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -43.47% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

-33.12%

-0.73

53.52%

S&P 500

20.78%

0.70

20.15%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

45.25%

EBIT Growth (5y)

259.79%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

7.43

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

1.90

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.95

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.49

Tax Ratio

23.99%

Dividend Payout Ratio

461.18%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

100.00%

ROCE (avg)

32.68%

ROE (avg)

43.12%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.41

EV to EBIT

8.95

EV to EBITDA

3.80

EV to Capital Employed

1.19

EV to Sales

2.57

PEG Ratio

0.52

Dividend Yield

5.95%

ROCE (Latest)

13.33%

ROE (Latest)

27.72%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bullish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

9What is working for the Company

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Highest at USD 51.34 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 272 MM

-9What is not working for the Company

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -29.77%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 15.42% (YoY

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 140.92 %

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.97 times

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD 98.93 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at USD -5.31

Here's what is working for Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

Net Profit

At USD 272 MM has Grown at 84.62%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 147.33 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Highest at USD 272 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Cash and Eqv

Highest at USD 51.34 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is improving

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Here's what is not working for Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD 98.93 MM has Fallen at -37.25%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 157.65 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at USD 98.93 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

EPS

Lowest at USD -5.31

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 140.92 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 4.97 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 15.42% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales