Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NOG) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

EQT Corp.

Antero Resources Corp.

Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

Devon Energy Corp.

SM Energy Co.

Range Resources Corp.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Ovintiv, Inc.

Marathon Oil Corp.

Murphy Oil Corp.

Why is Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 32.68%

Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 36.47% and Operating profit at 67.45%

Negative results in Jun 25

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 12.08% (YoY)

With ROCE of 16.94%, it has a very attractive valuation with a 1.09 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -45.03%, its profits have fallen by -21.9%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -45.03% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

-40.95%

-0.70

53.24%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.64

20.20%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

36.47%

EBIT Growth (5y)

67.45%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

7.43

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

1.90

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.95

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.53

Tax Ratio

23.99%

Dividend Payout Ratio

31.92%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

100.00%

ROCE (avg)

32.68%

ROE (avg)

43.12%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.18

EV to EBIT

6.45

EV to EBITDA

3.27

EV to Capital Employed

1.09

EV to Sales

2.32

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

5.64%

ROCE (Latest)

16.94%

ROE (Latest)

22.56%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

10What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD 1,445.58 MM

DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)

Highest at 44.91%

DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)

Highest at USD 5.67

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Highest at USD 59.43 MM

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 212.56 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 160.63 MM

-3What is not working for the Company

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 12.08% (YoY

Here's what is working for Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD 1,445.58 MM and Grown

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Dividend per share

Highest at USD 5.67 and Grown

In each year in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated

DPS (USD)

Dividend Payout Ratio

Highest at 44.91% and Grown

In each year in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend

DPR (%)

Pre-Tax Profit

Highest at USD 212.56 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Highest at USD 160.63 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Cash and Eqv

Highest at USD 59.43 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is improving

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Depreciation

Highest at USD 205.74 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for Northern Oil & Gas, Inc.

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 12.08% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Non Operating Income

Highest at USD 0.46 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Increased income from non business activities may not be sustainable

Non Operating income