Why is Obsidian Energy Ltd. ?
1
With a fall in EPS of -132.36%, the company declared Very Negative results in Jun 25
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at -14.4%
- INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q) Lowest at 1,115
- RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 81.36% (YoY)
2
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 17.48%, its profits have risen by 77.4% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Obsidian Energy Ltd. for you?
High Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Obsidian Energy Ltd.
-100.0%
26.90
51.43%
S&P/TSX 60
19.1%
1.54
14.62%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
16.97%
EBIT Growth (5y)
66.08%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
3.94
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.36
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.25
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.38
Tax Ratio
23.69%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
21.16%
ROCE (avg)
9.84%
ROE (avg)
13.12%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
3
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.44
EV to EBIT
6.37
EV to EBITDA
2.11
EV to Capital Employed
0.52
EV to Sales
1.21
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
8.17%
ROE (Latest)
13.73%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
Technical Movement
3What is working for the Company
NET PROFIT(9M)
Higher at CAD 153.6 MM
-22What is not working for the Company
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at -14.4%
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)
Lowest at 1,115
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 81.36% (YoY
NET SALES(Q)
Lowest at CAD 124.3 MM
OPERATING PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at CAD 66.9 MM
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)
Lowest at 53.82 %
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at CAD -0.5 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at CAD -0.39 MM
Here's what is not working for Obsidian Energy Ltd.
Net Sales
At CAD 124.3 MM has Fallen at -34.2%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 188.9 MMMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is extremely negative
Net Sales (CAD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
At CAD -0.5 MM has Fallen at -101.17%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 42.63 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)
Net Profit
At CAD -0.39 MM has Fallen at -100.69%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 56.8 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative
Net Profit (CAD MM)
Interest Coverage Ratio
Lowest at 1,115
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is deteriorating
Operating Profit to Interest
Net Sales
Lowest at CAD 124.3 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is negative
Net Sales (CAD MM)
Operating Profit
Lowest at CAD 66.9 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is negative
Operating Profit (CAD MM)
Operating Profit Margin
Lowest at 53.82 %
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has deteriorated
Operating Profit to Sales
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at CAD -0.5 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative
Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at CAD -0.39 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (CAD MM)
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 81.36% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






