Origin Materials, Inc. (AACQ) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Gevo, Inc.

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Loop Industries, Inc.

Danimer Scientific, Inc.

Origin Materials, Inc.

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Valhi, Inc.

FutureFuel Corp.

Trinseo Plc

Lightwave Logic, Inc.

Why is Origin Materials, Inc. ?

The company has declared Negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters

ROCE(HY) Lowest at -25.5%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at -19.9 %
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 20.18% (YoY)

Risky - Negative EBITDA

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -62.70%, its profits have fallen by -28.9%

Below par performance in long term as well as near term

Along with generating -62.70% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Specialty Chemicals)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Origin Materials, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Origin Materials, Inc.

-61.19%

-0.55

100.96%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.61

20.17%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

133.39%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-206.42%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-41.65

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Negative Net Debt

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

-0.25

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.07

Tax Ratio

0.64%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

22.50%

ROCE (avg)

ROE (avg)

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.22

EV to EBIT

0.14

EV to EBITDA

0.17

EV to Capital Employed

-0.04

EV to Sales

-0.32

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

Negative Capital Employed

ROE (Latest)

-20.31%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

13What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD -34.87 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD -12.18 MM

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD -13.74 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD -13.86 MM

EPS(Q)

Highest at USD -0.09

-12What is not working for the Company

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -25.5%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at -19.9 %

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 20.18% (YoY

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 45.17 times

NET SALES(Q)

Fallen at -17.35%

Here's what is working for Origin Materials, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD -34.87 MM and Grown

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Operating Profit

Highest at USD -12.18 MM and Grown

In each period in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is quite positive

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

Highest at USD -13.74 MM and Grown

In each period in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Highest at USD -13.86 MM and Grown

In each period in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS

Highest at USD -0.09

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Here's what is not working for Origin Materials, Inc.

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at -19.9 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Net Sales

Fallen at -17.35%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 45.17 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 20.18% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales