Why is ORLEN SA ?
1
Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with a 24.91% CAGR growth in Net Sales
- Company's ability to service its debt is strong with a healthy EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 18.92
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 17.53% signifying high profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
The company has declared Positive results for the last 3 consecutive quarters
- ROCE(HY) Highest at 14.37%
- NET SALES(Q) Highest at PLN 76,471 MM
- PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) Highest at PLN 12,271 MM
3
With ROE of 13.88%, it has a attractive valuation with a 0.98 Price to Book Value
- The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 95.79%, its profits have risen by 53.8% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.1
4
Majority shareholders : FIIs
5
Market Beating Performance
- The stock has generated a return of 95.79% in the last 1 year, much higher than market (Poland WIG) returns of 37.09%
How much should you buy?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to ORLEN SA should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is ORLEN SA for you?
Medium Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
ORLEN SA
-100.0%
4.27
34.06%
Poland WIG
37.09%
2.22
16.73%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
24.91%
EBIT Growth (5y)
46.69%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
21.50
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
0.11
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.74
Tax Ratio
28.16%
Dividend Payout Ratio
366.96%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.02%
ROCE (avg)
24.12%
ROE (avg)
17.53%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
7
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.98
EV to EBIT
4.61
EV to EBITDA
3.14
EV to Capital Employed
0.98
EV to Sales
0.52
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
8.96%
ROCE (Latest)
21.26%
ROE (Latest)
13.88%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bullish
Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Bullish
Moving Averages
Bullish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
OBV
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
Technical Movement
19What is working for the Company
ROCE(HY)
Highest at 14.37%
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at PLN 76,471 MM
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Highest at PLN 12,271 MM
NET PROFIT(Q)
Highest at PLN 9,169.18 MM
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -55.92% (YoY
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Highest at PLN 64,995 MM
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 10.13 times
-4What is not working for the Company
INTEREST(Q)
At PLN 592 MM has Grown at 22.82%
Here's what is working for ORLEN SA
Net Sales
Highest at PLN 76,471 MM and Grown
In each period in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (PLN MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Highest at PLN 12,271 MM and Grown
In each period in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive
Pre-Tax Profit (PLN MM)
Net Profit
Highest at PLN 9,169.18 MM and Grown
In each period in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very positive
Net Profit (PLN MM)
Net Profit
At PLN 9,169.18 MM has Grown at 82.21%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of PLN 5,032.19 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (PLN MM)
Cash and Eqv
Highest at PLN 64,995 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is improving
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Highest at 10.13 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -55.92% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for ORLEN SA
Interest
At PLN 592 MM has Grown at 22.82%
period on period (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (PLN MM)






