Why is ORLEN SA ?
1
High Management Efficiency with a high ROE of 17.53%
2
Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 24.65%
3
The company has declared Negative results for the last 6 consecutive quarters
- NET SALES(HY) At PLN 150,704 MM has Grown at -16.64%
- INTEREST(HY) At PLN 971 MM has Grown at 57.89%
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at 6.04%
4
With ROE of 9.94%, it has a fair valuation with a 0.71 Price to Book Value
- The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 86.86%, its profits have fallen by -6.8%
5
Market Beating Performance
- The stock has generated a return of 86.86% in the last 1 year, much higher than market (Poland WIG) returns of 37.76%
How much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to ORLEN SA should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is ORLEN SA for you?
Low Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
ORLEN SA
91.53%
1.98
24.16%
Poland WIG
39.24%
1.84
20.48%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
24.65%
EBIT Growth (5y)
251.30%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
18.92
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
0.48
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.93
Tax Ratio
46.85%
Dividend Payout Ratio
474.16%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.10%
ROCE (avg)
18.47%
ROE (avg)
17.53%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
7
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.71
EV to EBIT
3.71
EV to EBITDA
2.43
EV to Capital Employed
0.70
EV to Sales
0.35
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
5.40%
ROCE (Latest)
18.99%
ROE (Latest)
9.94%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bearish
Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Mildly Bullish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bullish (Daily)
KST
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bullish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
4What is working for the Company
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Fallen by -38.1% (YoY
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 10.33%
NET PROFIT(Q)
Highest at PLN 5,543.47 MM
-6What is not working for the Company
NET SALES(HY)
At PLN 150,704 MM has Grown at -16.64%
INTEREST(HY)
At PLN 971 MM has Grown at 57.89%
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at 6.04%
Here's what is working for ORLEN SA
Net Profit
Highest at PLN 5,543.47 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (PLN MM)
Net Profit
At PLN 5,543.47 MM has Grown at 134.13%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of PLN 2,367.73 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (PLN MM)
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Highest at 10.33%
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to sell its inventory faster
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Raw Material Cost
Fallen by -38.1% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Here's what is not working for ORLEN SA
Net Sales
At PLN 150,704 MM has Grown at -16.64%
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is negative
Net Sales (PLN MM)
Interest
At PLN 971 MM has Grown at 57.89%
over previous Semi-Annual periodMOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (PLN MM)






